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The Front Page of today's Mail on Sunday.

The Front Page of today’s Mail on Sunday.

Does anybody think Dudley North will remain a marginal constituency after today’s allegations about Conservative (ex-)candidate Afzal Amin?

According to the Mail on Sunday, Mr Amin encouraged the English Defence League (EDL) to announce a march against a new “mega-mosque”. The paper said he planned for the march to be scrapped so he could take credit for defusing the situation.

Mr Amin denies the claims, but the Conservative Party has stated that it is a matter of serious concern and has suspended him as a candidate.

Dudley North is currently a marginal constituency; the Parliamentary seat is held by Labour’s Ian Austin with a majority of just 649.

It seems unlikely that this will continue to be the case as voters may see the allegations as proof that sleaze is slithering back into the Conservative Party – and go back to providing majorities in the thousands for Labour.

The fact that the story has been broken by the ultra-Conservative Mail on Sunday makes it all the more convincing.

Vox Political recently reported that David Cameron was afraid to release his planned Dissolution Honours list, for fear that Conservatives he nominates might be embroiled in a scandal before polling day. This blog stated: “Clearly, corrupt and immoral behaviour among Tory MPs is expected by the Conservative leadership.”

It seems the allegations about Afzal Amin may confirm that view amongst the electorate.

Follow me on Twitter: @MidWalesMike

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