Every week, This Blog receives multiple comments from people who refer to poll results to support their latest claims about the unelectability of Labour and the inappropriateness of its current leader.

And every week, a by-election result shows their claim to be absolute and utter waffle.

These people are trying to make us believe a lie because it suits their own narrow political agendas.

The pollsters all doctor their figures in any case, to reflect the numbers of people known to have voted at the last general election – even though Labour has changed hugely since that election took place.

Believe the facts, people – not somebody’s made-up statistic.

Yesterday, a poll was published claiming – based on a sample of around 1600 people – that only 51% of people who voted Labour in 2015 would do so if there was a General Election now. It also claimed that 73% of those who voted Tory would continue to do so.

Much was made of that by anti-Corbyn MPs and commentators, of course.

On the same day, unmentioned by the news channels, in a council by-election in Horsehay and Lightmoor in Shropshire – a county that, at the moment, has only Tory MPs – was won by Labour from the Conservatives on a 24,3% swing.

These figures mean that an area that previously gave the Tory party almost twice as many votes as to Labour, suddenly swung massively – and the supposedly dangerous UKIP lost share as well. To Labour – the opposite of what’s meant to happen if you believe the pollsters, pundits and laughably-called ‘Labour moderates’.

Can you draw conclusions about the whole country from a single council by-election result? Of course not. Neither can you draw them from 1600 people – not in the current melting pot, when all previous assumptions are unreliable.

Source: Few will admit it, but Horsehay shows pollsters have no idea what’s going on | The SKWAWKBOX

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