Tory polling shows Boris Johnson cannot win a general election
Tory electoral ruin: According to the Downing Street polling being reported today, neither of these people are likely to vote Conservative in a future election.
Will Boris Johnson really want to call an election after seeing polling that shows he would end up with only 295-300 seats in Parliament?
That’s what may happen, it seems:
Exc: No10 has seen polling that means if there was an election now, Boris Johnson would do worse than Theresa May, according to Jason Stein, who was a Tory special advisor and Amber Rudd aide until Saturday night
Here’s what he told me for a Sky News interview: pic.twitter.com/bDszzB2Ky7
— Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) September 9, 2019
Will Mr Johnson still put forward a motion for a general election today (September 9), in the light of this result?
He won’t get it, of course, so it might be a show of bravado to do it.
But the facts seem clear:
A Boris Johnson-led Conservative Party cannot win a general election.
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But does that mean that Labour would win, or is it likely that voting might be split with the LibDems and Brexit party? The Greens never get that many votes, and UKIP is pretty much finished, but can Labour do it? Mind you, like you say, it’s not likely to happen yet anyway.
This poll was taken presumably before the surge in voter registration which began last week with the indication that it is the under 35’s who are the biggest group. When these new voters become eligible to vote and if they are predominantly anti-Brexit, Johnson could even fail to win 300 seats.
They will win. Because they have traditional voters and Brexit party will take votes from labour heartlands that voted leave because a certain liar said labour will campaign for remain. Even though he’s admitted to being a Eurosceptic.
When will you deluded fools see that the man is there for his own gain.
By the way I’m on about Jeremy Corbyn.
Weird. This guy thinks the Brexit Party takes votes away from Labour. All the evidence shows it takes people away from the Conservative Party.
But then, he doesn’t even understand that Jeremy Corbyn campaigned for the UK to remain in the EU – and was better at it than David Cameron.
I think that the issue is that Emily Thornberry and now John MacDonnell have said that they would renegotiate a settlement with the E.U. then, in a referendum, campaign to remain.
My understanding is that Labour has said it would negotiate a deal, but if that deal is not satisfactory (in other words, if the EU gets too much of what it wants and the UK not enough) then Labour would say so and campaign accordingly. As you have been vocal in saying that the UK should stand up for what it wants, I would have thought you would appreciate this stance more than that of any other party.