Category Archives: Intimidation

Whistleblower reveals that Corbyn could have won 2017 election until Tories leant on YouGov – Dorset Eye

Nadhim Zahawi: it seems the co-founder of YouGov intimidated the polling firm into changing its methods – falsifying poll results – to make it seem the Tories were more popular than was true in 2017.

This is shocking and Nadhim Zahawi should be made to answer some hard questions.

It seems polling in 2017 showed Labour overtaking the Conservatives – until the Conservatives (Zahawi in particular) intimidated leading pollster YouGov.

A whistleblower on Dorset Eye explains:

The first thing I would do every morning is download the overnight data, and each day the gap just kept getting smaller and smaller. On the morning of the Manchester bombing, we actually had Labour pulling level, although the poll got spiked because the campaign rightly paused.

And then we released the MRP*. This was probably the worst possible idea. The MRP was actually showing exactly the same thing as our standard polls would have, but it was the first time anybody had said “hung parliament”.

Nadhim Zahawi called up the CEO and said he would call for his resignation if he was wrong.

This meant our polling and coverage was a lot worse for the rest of the campaign. We did a fantastic debate poll in the hours following the debate that Corbyn took part in. The results were stark – Corbyn won by a country mile, and one in four Tory voters thought he was best. But despite having written the story and designed the charts, we were banned from releasing the story because it was too positive about Labour.

Similarly, there were a few “minor” methodology changes for the final poll which increase the Tory lead. This was done after pressure from high-ups (and despite protests from those of us who thought it wasn’t ok).

Was the 2017 election rigged because people were influenced by falsified opinion polls?

The evidence here suggests it was. We might never have had Tory Brexit, Boris Johnson and all the horrors of the last five years if YouGov’s founder had left its employees to do their job. And will you ever trust an opinion poll again?

*MRP stands for multilevel regression and post-stratification. This is a statistical method that produces predictions for small geographic areas even if a poll had few respondents from that constituency. Instead, census data, such as the age and income distributions of voters in that area, is put into the model with the national survey data.

Source: Whistleblower reveals that Corbyn could have won 2017 election until Tories leant on YouGov – Dorset Eye

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Are Tory MPs really going to let corrupt Boris Johnson stay in office out of cowardice?

Paranoia: Boris Johnson isn’t receiving a message about who’s submitting letters of ‘no confidence’ against him, new Tory MPs. Feel safe to hand them in – or get a senior Tory who has already voiced opposition to Johnson to do it for you.

It seems some Conservative MPs – particularly those from the 2019 intake – are reluctant to submit letters of “no confidence” in Boris Johnson because they fear Tory whips will be spying on the process and will victimise them in the future.

According to The Guardian,

They worry that the Tory whips will be spying outside the office of Sir Graham Brady, the 1922 Committee chair who gathers the letters, and do not trust emails not to be accidentally shared or viewed by staff who have access to the accounts.

But some senior Tories who have already voiced opposition to Johnson in public have offered to act as conduits, carrying letters to 1922 Committee chair Sir Graham Brady – so there’s no problem, is there?

Perhaps these Parliamentarians haven’t considered what might happen to them if their constituents find out they could have helped kick the corrupt Partygate prime minister out but instead are allowing him to remain – and do worse – because of their own cowardice?

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Rees-Mogg has been leaving ‘demeaning’ notes for civil servants working from home

Jacob Rees-Mogg: he reckons it’s inefficient for civil servants to work from home and not in the office – but seems happy to have a nap in his own place of work.

Here’s another Tory who wants to make the people who do the actual work of government look bad, while distracting attention away from his colleagues and their lockdown-busting rave-ups.

Jacob Rees-Mogg has been leaving nasty little notes on the desks of civil servants who have been working from home – because he refuses to accept that they are capable of providing a better quality of work if they’re not tied to an office.

Meanwhile, the Cabinet Office minister has been merrily defending prime minister Boris Johnson’s attendance at parties in Downing Street – that break the rules Johnson himself announced to the public.

He said the fact that Johnson had been fined for disobeying his own rules in order to attend parties was “fundamentally trivial” “fluff”. That’s even though Johnson is also accused of the extremely serious offence of lying to Parliament about what he did.

What a hypocrite. If anything is “fundamentally trivial” “fluff”, it’s his determination to leave creepy little notes for the civil servants who make him look competent.

Source: Jacob Rees-Mogg criticised for leaving ‘demeaning’ notes for civil servants working from home

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Bercow found guilty of bullying but Patel innocent – because Johnson is corrupt

‘Or-DURE!’ John Bercow looks as though even he can’t believe the latest corruption coming from the UK’s Parliament, headed by Boris Johnson.

Priti Patel is utterly vile.

She bullied civil servants in three government departments, according to a report by the Parliamentary Standards watchdog, and the relevant MPs’ committee.

But she was let off the hook by Boris Johnson who, as prime minister, had the ultimate say over whether she should be penalised for the transgression or exonerated of it altogether.

I mention this because, now, former Commons Speaker John Bercow has also been found to have bullied staff in the Speaker’s office – according to a report by the Parliamentary Standards watchdog, and the relevant MPs’ committee.

But if he were still a member of Parliament it is unlikely that he would have escaped punishment because, unlike Priti Patel, he took a principled stand against a government he claimed was “disrespecting parliament, telling untruths to parliament and bypassing parliament” – and a prime minister he publicly denounced as someone who “stinks in the nostrils of decent people”.

Don’t get me wrong. It is entirely possible that John Bercow is as utterly vile as Priti Patel. There are reports from Parliament saying so!

But Patel’s record is clean and Bercow’s is dirty because Boris Johnson is utterly corrupt. That is what riles me. It’s what should upset you, too.

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Tory stooge Starmer doubles down on threat to expel Labour MPs for criticising Nato

Feel free to post this infographic wherever you like.

In rational times, a Labour leader caught taking orders from a former Tory minister would automatically apologise and resign.

Clearly we don’t live in a normal world.

Because Keir Starmer, who followed the demand of former Tory minister David Gauke by threatening Labour MPs with the removal of the party whip for criticising Nato by supporting a statement opposing the war in Ukraine, has doubled down on his threat instead:

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has warned his MPs that any of them who attempt to attack Nato or indulge in “false equivalence” with Russian aggression will be kicked out of the party.

Sir Keir said there would be “no room” in Labour for anyone who seeking to blame the western alliance for Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.

It follows a telling off for the 11 left-wing Labour MPs who were threatened with the loss of the party whip if they didn’t pull support for a Stop the War letter criticising Nato.

“False equivalence” is a logical fallacy that can most easily be defined as “comparing apples with oranges”.

And if anybody is guilty of it, then Starmer is.

He wants to say that opponents of the war are comparing Russia’s behaviour in invading Ukraine with Nato’s posturing immediately before.

But in fact, the anti-war protesters were comparing Nato’s willingness to allow Ukraine to join the organisation – so it could put military bases on that country’s border with Russia, with Russia’s concerns that it was being encircled by members of an organisation hostile to it.

The language used by Nato and representatives of its member states was highly provocative, while ignoring the concerns that had been expressed to them – as Russian President Putin showed when he singled out the idiotic bluster of UK foreign secretary Liz Truss.

Starmer’s claim makes it seem as though these anti-war protesters are actually supporting Russia’s war – which is a clear contradiction of their fundamental position.

But then, he is (apparently) taking orders from the Conservative Party.

Incidentally, Starmer apparently used Ukraine as an excuse not to attend a regional Labour conference – but instead of actually doing anything related to that crisis, he went to Birmingham’s Erdington constituency to try to shore up crumbling support for his right-wing candidate there:

The genuine left-wing alternative – Dave Nellist – is enjoying considerable grassroots support, which is why the mainstream media are doing all they can to cancel him.

As I type this, BBC Radio West Midlands is holding a “debate” with “some of” the candidates. Nellist isn’t among them, having been deliberately excluded, it seems:

So there you have it.

The mass media – headed by your lovable, “impartial” BBC – are suppressing the left-wing candidate in this important local election, while Tory stooge Starmer has been snubbing his party members to go canvassing on a fake lefty ticket.

I only hope listeners boycott the BBC debate and go to meet Nellist at the Erdington Club rally instead.

And then let’s see a huge vote for Nellist rather than Starmer’s puppet on Thursday.

Source: Keir Starmer warns Labour MPs anyone attacking Nato will be booted out | The Independent

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Was Keir Starmer told to threaten Labour socialists over Russia-Ukraine by a former TORY MP?

Keir Starmer: Tory puppet?

You may remember that Keir Starmer ordered members of the Labour Party’s Socialist Campaign Group of MPs to withdraw their names from a Stop the War Coalition statement on the Russia-Ukraine crisis that criticised Nato – in the late afternoon of February 24.

It seems that, while the decision to threaten them with the loss of the Labour whip was his, the idea came from former Conservative MP David Gauke – as former Labour MP Chris Williamson has highlighted:

Check the time on it: 3.51pm. Around an hour and a half later, right-wing columnist Dan Hodges tweeted to say that the Labour whips had done exactly as Gauke had suggested:

Confirmation came from LabourList an hour after that:

So it seems Mr Williamson is right and Labour leader Keir Starmer takes orders from Tories. This could devastate Labour’s credibility with voters.

Gauke has tried to distance himself from the revelation – and insulted Mr Williamson in the process by saying Labour was becoming respectable again. The response is scathing:

We are days away from a by-election in Erdington, Birmingham, where Labour has struggled to attract campaigners while the left-wing candidate, Dave Nellist, has enjoyed huge support on the streets.

How will this damning revelation affect public opinion and – more importantly – the vote?

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Dick put ‘on notice’ – but why because of her officers and not because of herself?

Cressida Dick: she regularly appears in the media, trying to mitigate the shocking offences committed by Metropolitan Police officers – and their commissioner.

Metropolitan Police Commissioner Cressida Dick has been put “on notice” by London Mayor Sadiq Khan, that she must reverse the culture of racism, homophobia, bullying and misogyny discovered in her service’s ranks since she took over.

Khan is said to have referred to it as “a return to the bad days of the Met of his childhood in the 1970s and 80s”.

Certainly there is reason to find fault with the Met Police under Dick’s direction.

The latest revelations show officers, mainly at Charing Cross, had joked about rape, domestic violence and killing black children.

A report by the Independent Office of Police Conduct stated, “We believe these incidents are not isolated or simply the behaviour of a few ‘bad apples’.”

Recent history bears this out.

Look at Wayne Couzens, who kidnapped, raped and murdered Sarah Everard, and burned the body to evade detection. Did Charing Cross officers make a joke about that? One Met officer certainly did – he shared memes showing a police officer kidnapping a woman, but has been allowed to keep his job.

Three more officers were charged with sex offences in October alone. One – David Carrick – now faces charges relating to 29 offences including many rapes between 2009 and 2020. Francois Olwage faces child sex charges. Adam Zaman has been charged with rape.

And what about the officers assigned to guard the bodies of murdered women, who took photographs of them and shared the images on a WhatsApp group because they thought it was funny? The mother of murdered sisters Nicole Smallman and Bibaa Henry demanded that Dick clear the rot from the Met but that clearly hasn’t happened.

Incidents in which Met officers have stopped and searched people who happen to have been “driving while black” abound.

But Cressida Dick herself is not above suspicion either. Both she and the service she heads were found to have been “institutionally corrupt” in their handling of the Daniel Morgan murder inquiry.

And now it seems she is busily covering up the misdeeds of Boris Johnson in the Partygate scandal. Initially the Met refused to investigate allegations of more than a dozen lockdown-busting Downing Street parties, claiming there was no evidence, even though officers from that service were guarding the doors of Number 10 at the time and it seems unlikely that they could have failed to notice civil servants carrying suitcases full of wine bottles into the building.

After Sue Gray uncovered a huge mass of evidence, Dick stepped in and announced that the Met had decided to investigate after all – and this meant the senior civil servant must edit details relating to the 12 parties under police investigation out of her report.

It seems, even after being labelled “corrupt” in the Morgan report, Dick just can’t stop interfering.

So now Sadiq Khan has put her “on notice”. If she does not clean up her act, and that of her officers, then according to a source close to Khan, “the mayor will have to consider whether she is the right person to lead the change needed at the Met”.

He means he’ll have her removed.

As far as some of us are concerned, such a move can’t come soon enough. He should have done it already.

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Did Labour widely distribute intimidating letter to domestic abuse victim Apsana Begum?

Apsana Begum: why won’t Keir Starmer support his MP?

Is the Labour Party deliberately abusing a former victim of domestic abuse?

Apsana Begum has spoken of being a victim of domestic abuse, coercive control and financial abuse during her short marriage to a Tower Hamlets councillor, Ehtashamul Haque, between 2013 and 2015.

She was falsely accused of council housing fraud and had to go through a lengthy trial, at the end of which she was cleared of all charges.

Now this:

These are just allegations. This Writer cannot vouch for their veracity or make any claims as to who may be responsible for whatever has happened.

But doesn’t it seem strange that the Labour Party under Keir Starmer seems to have less regard for the well-being of one of its own MPs than under alleged racist (but we all know that was another nonsense allegation, right?) Jeremy Corbyn?

Ms Begum seems remarkably upbeat about it:

But the question remains: what is going on in Tower Hamlets and why hasn’t the Labour leadership clamped down and announced an investigation – possibly, considering the situation, involving the police?

Chris Packham’s house firebombed – because he campaigns for conservation?

Inferno: the exploding Land Rover damaged the gates beyond repair.

At a time of worldwide animal extinctions and potentially irreparable damage to the ecosystem, what kind of psychopath firebombs the house of a conservationist who campaigns to save our wildlife?

Shockingly, masked intruders parked a Land Rover outside a Hampshire house belonging to TV naturalist Chris Packham last weekend and set fire to it. This was the day before he was due to deliver a 100,000-signature petition to Buckingham Palace, calling for the Royal Family to conserve nature on Crown estates and to reintroduce species like beavers and wild boar.

Mr Packham himself has attributed the attack to online trolls:

He said: “These people are angry at some of the things that I campaign against.” He campaigns against the wilful destruction of our natural environment! How can anybody be angry about that?

Sadly, This Writer can understand and sympathise with much of his experience with online trolls.

It is very easy to whip up extreme hatred on (for example) Twitter. I’m currently fighting a court case against another TV personality, who claims that her own behaviour on that platform didn’t encourage her Twitter followers to bully and intimidate a teenage girl with mental health problems. My question is simple: if she didn’t focus her followers on that girl, who does she say did?

Mr Packham says the social media companies have done nothing to enable justice or prevent hatred from being whipped up, and I am (again) inclined to agree.

But the Tory government is (allegedly) putting legislation through Parliament to change that. The Online Harms Bill will propose penalties for such behaviour.

I am eagerly awaiting it. Depending on what measures are finally imposed, it may be the best thing this Tory government does.

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Guilt-shaming Gove should know: people in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones

Michael Gove: that’s a Chelsea FC scarf he’s wearing. His love of that team led him to fly to Portugal where he had close contact with people who had Covid-19. He didn’t follow the rules that we must; he put himself on an elite ‘daily testing’ scheme instead, potentially endangering his work colleagues. And now he’s threatening to deny people who don’t have the vaccine access to events like the one he attended. What a barefaced hypocrite.

It’s a classic ‘nudge’ strategy: you want somebody to do something, you make them feel guilty about it.

So Michael Gove probably thought it was perfectly reasonable to say people who don’t want the Covid-19 vaccine are selfish; that they are endangering the rest of us.

Trouble is, he‘s the selfish Tory minister who refused to self-isolate after the Covid-19 app on his phone pinged him for close contact with infected people when he flew off to Portugal to watch the Champions League final. Instead, he availed himself of a ‘daily test’ regime available only to a select few.

So he added another stick to poke the non-vaxxers into the vaccination centres: anybody turning down the vaccine may be barred from events he described as requiring a certain level of safety.

Like football matches?

His argument doesn’t work. His own history makes this another “one rule for Tory ministers, a different rule for everybody else” situation.

And if the vaccine is so fantastically good, then the people refusing it will be the only ones likely to die if they catch Covid-19. Everybody else will be protected – right?

Right?

The alternative is that there really is a covert reason for making us all have these injections.

Are the conspiracy theorists right?

What are these Tories pumping into us?

So now Gove has gone from making us feel guilty if we haven’t had the jab to making us all worry that the injection is secretly an attack against us.

And what does it mean?

It means if I hadn’t already had my jabs, I’d be seriously considering turning them down. I don’t go out much anyway.

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