Category Archives: Opinion Poll

British people are more concerned about the UK economy than before Jeremy Hunt’s Budget

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Last week’s Budget made people more concerned than reassured about their finances, with more than a third more concerned about the economy than before Jeremy Hunt’s speech, polling has found.

Ipsos discovered that people blame the Tory government for much of the UK’s current economic difficulty, while a separate poll for Opinium found that more than twice as many voters (43 per cent) would prefer a Labour government led by Keir Starmer to be running public services and the economy than the Tories (17 per cent).

Only 13 per cent of people said they felt more reassured about their personal finances after March 15, with 12 per cent saying the same on public services, the PA news agency said.

A mere 22 per cent said the Budget left them more reassured about the state of Britain’s economy, while 35 per cent said it had made them more concerned about the economy and public services and 37 per cent said they were more concerned about their own finances.

On individual policies, the energy price guarantee extension was backed by 74 per cent of people, while 70 per cent supported the fuel duty freeze and 59 per cent backed the expanded childcare package.

But freezing income tax thresholds – so more people while pay higher rates of tax as their salaries and wages rise – and awarding an annual £1m prize for AI innovation had more opponents than supporters.

60 per cent of voters blame decisions by Hunt and Rishi Sunak for the current state of the economy.

But here’s the real kicker: two-thirds said economic policies over the last 13 years of Tory and Tory-led government are responsible.

The verdict is clear:

If Rishi Sunak thought this Budget would save the Tories from future electoral wipeout, he needs to think again.

Source: Brits now more concerned about state of UK economy than before budget, polling finds

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Take this poll on whether a new Left party is needed to pressure Starmer’s Labour

Keir Starmer: even if he’s found this poll, I don’t think he’ll be able to rig it.

Richard Murphy of Tax Research UK has an interesting question.

He wants to know if left-leaning politicians and powerful figures should begin a new party to pressure Starmer’s Labour in the way UKIP pressured and changed the Tories.

At the time of writing, the answer is very much “yes”. But what do you think?

Source: Should left-leaning politicians and powerful figures begin a new party to pressure Starmer’s Labour in the way UKIP pressured and changed the Tories?

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Here’s the reason voters can’t be very keen on Keir Starmer

Keir Starmer: if Labour wins at the next general election, it will be because a large proportion of the 61 per cent of UK voters will have gone against their better judgement. They want a new party that represents the interests of the many, not the few.

The polls may be indicating a huge win for Labour at the next general election, but here’s a reason Keir Starmer shouldn’t be celebrating yet:

Almost two in three voters want a new political party to take on the Conservatives and Labour, a shock new study of trust in politics has found.

61 per cent want ‘completely new type of political party’, [the] survey [has found] as pessimism hits [a] record high.

Yes indeed. Edelman’s annual trust barometer poll says the UK is increasingly pessimistic, distrustful of government and disdainful of politicians.

Three-quarters of those polled (75 per cent) said they thought the UK is going in the wrong direction.

61 per cent agreed that the UK “needs a completely new type of political party to compete with the Conservatives and Labour for power”.

Just 23 per cent of people said they felt close to the Tories, down four points since 2022, compared with 29 per cent saying the same about Labour, an increase of six points.

So neither party had a resounding vote of approval and it is easy to understand why so many want a new party.

But what kind of party would it be?

Judging by some of the other survey answers, it would be anti-Brexit (don’t be surprised; it’s only a matter of time before the two main parties change their tune on this disaster), would support improved standards of living, curb inequality and end the need for food banks.

Is anyone interested in taking up the torch on this?

Source: Two in three Britons want new political party to take on Tories and Labour | The Independent

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Polls say Tories are set to lose 300 seats in the next election. Well…

Apparently the latest polls are predicting a huge loss for the Conservatives at the next general election, that may make them only the third largest party – behind the SNP.

But are they really likely to lose 300 seats?

Well…

Here’s an interesting analysis by A Different Bias:

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Rishi Sunak’s poll ratings plummet: we don’t believe his promises because he is weak

Rishi Sunak: why is he smiling? If he’s looking at his popularity poll ratings he should be facepalming.

This is an excellent, information-packed analysis.

And it’s handy for This Writer, as I am busy preparing for my special court hearing on permission to appeal against the judgment in Rachel Riley’s libel case against me.

The blurb for the video states: “Rishi Sunak is being attacked over his sinking approval rating. Some of it valid, some not so valid. In this video, I explain my views on what forms a net approval rating and why comparing those of different leaders at different times is never really valuable.”

But there’s a lot more to it than that. Watch:

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After conference week, Tory polling is a disaster; they’re knackered

This would be a good article/clip for you to watch in tandem with the Russell Howard clip that I’ve put into a separate article.

This one is from Phil Moorhouse’s A Different Bias and discusses the Tory Party’s polling – which has stayed in the pits after their party conference. Forget what the pundits said about her speech – Liz Truss’s poll rating fell after it, while Keir Starmer’s improved.

Meanwhile in the nation as a whole, the Tories’ support in rural areas collapsed – people are turning, not to the Liberal Democrats but Labour.

Phil has a few things to say about that – here:

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Labour has almost the largest poll lead over the Tories in British political history

What a shame this could not have happened when Jeremy Corbyn was leader of the Labour Party. We might have ended up with a nation worth living in.

Here’s the gist:

So there you have it. Starmer’s Labour has a 33-point lead over Liz Truss and her hollowed-out Conservatives.

According to the poll, if there was a general election now, Labour would have 565 MPs and the Conservatives would have just three.

Evolve Politics has slightly different figures but they’re still horrifying for the Tories:

Liz Truss is already being touted as the person who could wipe out the Conservatives:

Of course she didn’t do it alone. I mention this merely to get a bit of mockery into the article – and this is too good not to keep for posterity:

But a Labour landslide would not be a necessarily good thing – especially under Keir Starmer’s leadership.

Economist Richard Murphy sets out the case for proportional representation here:

Remember this fact, also:

Still, there’s a groundswell of support for an immediate general election:

What do you think? Would you like an election?

Oh, and the Tories really have cancelled live band karaoke at their conference:

How will Therese Coffey get her kicks now?

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More than half of UK think Tories were wrong to keep Boris Johnson

Boris Johnson: doubt in his leadership has NOT been dispelled.

A poll has found that 51 per cent of people in the UK – including one in four who voted Conservative in 2019 – think that party’s MPs were wrong to keep Boris Johnson as prime minister in a confidence vote last week.

They join the Welsh Conservatives, who are splitting from the national party in response to the Partygate scandal, despite support for Johnson from MPs like This Writer’s (Fay Jones, Brecon and Radnorshire).

Only 36 per cent of people who took the Ipsos poll said the Tories made the right decision.

Critics say the prime minister has found himself in the eye of a revolt against his positon, the scale of which far surpassed the expectations of his allies – failing to put to bed questions over his leadership.

Source: Boris Johnson news: More than half of Britons ‘think Tories made wrong decision keeping PM’

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Poll says Keir Starmer has dug Labour into a huge hole. Where’s Jeremy Corbyn when you need him?

Cosy chums: Boris Johnson and Keir Starmer both represent the over-privileged, entitled, suit-wearing twit class – but unlike Starmer, Johnson has a personality (even though it’s rotten). That’s why he beats Starmer in the polls.

This should be a big lesson for right-wingers in the Labour Party: be careful what you wish for, because you might just get it.

The so-called “Centrists” (in fact hard-right-wing politicians who would feel very much at home in the Conservative Party) dug a huge hole for their party in order to stop Jeremy Corbyn becoming prime minister in 2019.

Now they’re discovering that the leader they chose to replace Mr Corbyn – Keir Starmer – can’t get out of it. Instead, he is deepening the hole and dragging them all down with him:

Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll.

28% think Johnson would make the best prime minister, 26% opted for Starmer.

Sadly, it seems Starmer’s team – if you can call it that – would rather delude themselves and gaslight us with blue-sky thinking than address the serious problems that their own idiocy has created.

Read the nonsense they’re spouting and weep:

“If you had said the morning after the 2019 election Labour could be back in one term, people would have laughed at you.”

They still would. Starmer is never going to win a general election.

“But the work that Keir has been doing to reform the party, often without fanfare, means that we can seriously talk about winning the next election. The fact we’ve climbed out of the hole we were in was never a given.”

It should have been, considering the people who dug it for Jeremy Corbyn tried hard to fill it in for Starmer.

But Corbyn attracted hundreds of thousands of people to join the party – and millions to vote for it, in spite of the bad press generated by his hard-right opponents – the people trying desperately to prop up their lame-duck leader now.

Starmer has scared off all those millions and turned Labour into the kind of party that can only score an advantage if Boris Johnson shoots himself in the foot.

What a shame.

Five years ago, we could have had a Labour prime minister if rightists squatting in the party had only accepted that the leader at the time was who people wanted.

Now they’re trying to force-feed us this bland sub-Tory faker and can’t understand why we refuse to swallow. Grotesque.

Source: Poll says Keir Starmer worse choice for PM than Boris Johnson

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Whistleblower reveals that Corbyn could have won 2017 election until Tories leant on YouGov – Dorset Eye

Nadhim Zahawi: it seems the co-founder of YouGov intimidated the polling firm into changing its methods – falsifying poll results – to make it seem the Tories were more popular than was true in 2017.

This is shocking and Nadhim Zahawi should be made to answer some hard questions.

It seems polling in 2017 showed Labour overtaking the Conservatives – until the Conservatives (Zahawi in particular) intimidated leading pollster YouGov.

A whistleblower on Dorset Eye explains:

The first thing I would do every morning is download the overnight data, and each day the gap just kept getting smaller and smaller. On the morning of the Manchester bombing, we actually had Labour pulling level, although the poll got spiked because the campaign rightly paused.

And then we released the MRP*. This was probably the worst possible idea. The MRP was actually showing exactly the same thing as our standard polls would have, but it was the first time anybody had said “hung parliament”.

Nadhim Zahawi called up the CEO and said he would call for his resignation if he was wrong.

This meant our polling and coverage was a lot worse for the rest of the campaign. We did a fantastic debate poll in the hours following the debate that Corbyn took part in. The results were stark – Corbyn won by a country mile, and one in four Tory voters thought he was best. But despite having written the story and designed the charts, we were banned from releasing the story because it was too positive about Labour.

Similarly, there were a few “minor” methodology changes for the final poll which increase the Tory lead. This was done after pressure from high-ups (and despite protests from those of us who thought it wasn’t ok).

Was the 2017 election rigged because people were influenced by falsified opinion polls?

The evidence here suggests it was. We might never have had Tory Brexit, Boris Johnson and all the horrors of the last five years if YouGov’s founder had left its employees to do their job. And will you ever trust an opinion poll again?

*MRP stands for multilevel regression and post-stratification. This is a statistical method that produces predictions for small geographic areas even if a poll had few respondents from that constituency. Instead, census data, such as the age and income distributions of voters in that area, is put into the model with the national survey data.

Source: Whistleblower reveals that Corbyn could have won 2017 election until Tories leant on YouGov – Dorset Eye

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