While the Tory-loving media have been touting an out-of-date poll suggesting a 68-seat Conservative Parliamentary majority, the actions of the party tells a different story.
Boris Johnson has run like a scalded cat from the possibility of being interviewed by Andrew Neil, after the veteran reporter seemed to prefer the sound of his own voice to any answers Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn might have given, in an interview earlier this week.
It seems the cowardly Johnson is afraid that he may face questioning over his own sexism, racism and attempts to spread Islamophobia, the many lies he has told – including to the Queen, and perhaps about his alleged financial connections with Russian money and with hedge fund bosses who apparently supported his bid to become Tory leader in return for a “no deal” Brexit.
He will also snub Channel 4’s election leaders debate on the climate crisis today (November 28) – and he will not attend the BBC’s seven-way leader debate tomorrow (November 29). Mr Corbyn will also be absent.
Mr Johnson’s place will be taken by Chief Secretary to the Treasury Rishi Sunak. Who? This Writer had been led to believe Dominic Raab would be there.
But Mr Raab has his own questions to answer after the family of Harry Dunn were excluded from a constituency hustings.
Mr Dunn was killed in a car crash in August, over which the suspected culprit claimed diplomatic immunity – and was granted it by Mr Raab.
So he’s running scared too!
Mr Corbyn’s place will be taken by Rebecca Long-Bailey, who doesn’t have any cloud hanging over her head as far as we can tell.
On the Andrew Neil interview, a Tory source apparently said discussions are ongoing, while Labour chairman Ian Lavery, more believably, said: “He’s running scared because every time he is confronted with the impact of nine years of austerity, the cost of living crisis, and over his plans to sell out our NHS, the more he is exposed.”
Meanwhile, Tory campaigning has shifted from attacking Labour to defending their own vulnerable seats, indicating that they are spooked by poll results and are switching their seat-winning ambitions away from all but a few Leave-heavy Labour marginals.
The best analysis so far seems to come from a Twitter account run by someone calling themselves “Dr Moderate”. See for yourself:
How confident are the Tories of winning?
The consensus is a 30+ seat majority. But their own targeted advertising paints a different picture.
In the last week, they've moved from offence to defence. Something has them spooked.
A thread (with supporting charts/data).
1/1 pic.twitter.com/iUiZqUwCdg
— Dr Moderate (@centrist_phone) November 27, 2019
That's only half the picture.
Perhaps more revealing is a new focus on targeted defence of currently held seats.
These are Lab/Con marginals, plus LD targets with big Tory majorities, indicating they are vulnerable in the South of England.
Attached: live ads in Eng/Wales
3/3 pic.twitter.com/d8ctsAnCvd
— Dr Moderate (@centrist_phone) November 27, 2019
And now I know why:
The data from the YouGov MRP collected over the last 7 days shows positive movement to Labour on each day.
The gap between Con/Lab narrowed by 4.3% over this period.
The Tory manifesto launch and 'antisemitism crisis' day did not stop this trend.
END pic.twitter.com/AhjalYzA3o
— Dr Moderate (@centrist_phone) November 27, 2019
So there you have it.
Support for Labour is increasing day by day and Tory attempts to stop it have failed.
But the Tory-supporting media, including the BBC, are telling you the opposite at a time when the law says they must be impartial.
Have YOU donated to my crowdfunding appeal, raising funds to fight false libel claims by TV celebrities who should know better? These court cases cost a lot of money so every penny will help ensure that wealth doesn’t beat justice.
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