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By-elections: For a country suffering Long Tory disease under Boris Johnson, Change Is Good

Boris Johnson: his MPs may have given up on kicking him out but it seems the rest of us all think it’s time for him to go.

Boris Johnson is facing a double-defeat more deadly to his premiership than Partygate as the public turns against him in two by-elections.

People in Wakefield, West Yorkshire, together with Tiverton and Honiton in Devon, seem certain to turn against the Tories over the cost-of-living catastrophe, at the ballot box next month.

At a focus group in Wakefield, the problem was clearly identified as Boris Johnson. Only one voter said they would stick with the Tories; the others vowed to support Labour or abstain from voting altogether.

The vitriol directed at Johnson over Partygate was real. “Can I call him a wanker?” asked Keith.

Rishi Sunak’s star had definitely fallen too. “They’re totally out of touch, particularly those two, born with silver spoons in their mouth,” said Janet, who is on Universal Credit for the first time in her life.

Luke Tryl, director of More In Common, said: “For most, the biggest problem with Johnson and Sunak is that they were seen to be totally out of touch and unable to understand the struggles of people’s everyday lives. This is a telling reversal from last summer and beyond when in similar groups you’d hear people using phrases like ‘Our Boris’ and the sense he was one of them.”

The people mentioned in the source article don’t show any real interest or enthusiasm in Keir Starmer’s Labour – they just want a change from a Tory government that has lost ideas and appeal over its 12 years in office: Long Tory disease.

Tom added: “Change is good.”

How ironic. Johnson used the same line when he had to replace a policy chief who had spoken unwisely about Starmer.

The PM was quoting the Lion King movie, seemingly oblivious to the film’s plot of a duplicitous ruler being found out eventually.

It seems Johnson has been found out. And with no attempt being made to halt the cost-of-living crisis, it seems he may soon be voted out.

Source: Tory MPs may still be backing Boris Johnson, but focus groups are showing that voters are done with the PM

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Erdington by-election: voters reject Tory for might-as-well-be-Tory

All smiles: but now Paulette Hamilton will have to prove she deserved to win Birmingham Erdington – and, with Keir Starmer’s pale Tory policies in a hugely-deprived constituency, that won’t be easy.

Let’s discuss the elephant in the room first: socialist candidate Dave Nellist caused a tremor in UK politics by coming third in the Birmingham Erdington by-election.

He beat candidates from Reform UK, the Green Party and the Liberal Democrats.

But he only received 360 votes and the result is unlikely to disturb the plans of either the second-placed Conservatives (6,147 votes) or the winner, Paulette Hamilton of the Keir Starmer Party (currently still misnaming itself as Labour).

Turnout was extremely low, with just 27 per cent of the 67,598-strong electorate bothering to vote. So the real winner was “none of the above” – and it seems the worst enemy of democracy in the UK is still a bit of rain.

And the fact that the turnout was low means news reports of vote shares are skewed (being based on the shares parties received of votes cast, rather than shares of the electorate.

The Starmer Party didn’t increase its vote share from 50 to 55 per cent, as is being claimed in the press.

The late Jack Dromey’s 17,720 votes in 2019 netted him just 26.8 per cent of the possible vote, ahead of Tory Robert Alden, whose 14,119 votes totalled 21.3 per cent of the electorate.

The two main parties’ shares of the possible votes were reduced to 14 per cent for the Starmer Party’s Paulette Hamilton (9,413 votes) and just 9.1 per cent for the Tories’ Robert Alden (6,147 votes).

Starmer has made much of his representative’s win, saying she has “made history”. He meant this was because she was the first black person, and the first woman, to take the constituency’s seat.

But it would be more accurate to say she made history by winning the seat with the lowest number of voters supporting her in the entire history of the constituency.

Undoubtedly some readers will want to suggest that pointing this out is just sour grapes on This Writer’s part, as I supported Mr Nellist and he won fewer than one per cent of the available votes. I’d say that was a fair comment. This was a missed opportunity, in my view.

But everybody has to start somewhere and this shows that left-wing politics in the UK is not dead.

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If you’re in Erdington are you letting the Westminster rot continue – or voting Nellist?

Dave Nellist: a genuine alternative to the right-wing political coalition that is strangling the UK.

It’s a filthy day out – exactly the kind of weather that puts socialists off going out to vote.

It would be a bitter shame if that happens in Bimingham’s Erdington constituency today.

Voters have a choice between the usual right-wingers in the Tory and Liberal Democrat parties, along with a new right-winger being pushed by Keir Starmer’s turncoat Labour Party that (apparently) takes orders from the Tories – or they could support an exciting alternative who offers the political representation that we all need.

That alternative is Dave Nellist – as he demonstrates himself in two video clips released today:

It’s a simple choice: more of the same corruption – which is exactly what you’ll get if you stay at home and don’t bother to vote – or a chance for something different with Dave.

Erdington voters: what are you going to do?

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Tory stooge Starmer doubles down on threat to expel Labour MPs for criticising Nato

Feel free to post this infographic wherever you like.

In rational times, a Labour leader caught taking orders from a former Tory minister would automatically apologise and resign.

Clearly we don’t live in a normal world.

Because Keir Starmer, who followed the demand of former Tory minister David Gauke by threatening Labour MPs with the removal of the party whip for criticising Nato by supporting a statement opposing the war in Ukraine, has doubled down on his threat instead:

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has warned his MPs that any of them who attempt to attack Nato or indulge in “false equivalence” with Russian aggression will be kicked out of the party.

Sir Keir said there would be “no room” in Labour for anyone who seeking to blame the western alliance for Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.

It follows a telling off for the 11 left-wing Labour MPs who were threatened with the loss of the party whip if they didn’t pull support for a Stop the War letter criticising Nato.

“False equivalence” is a logical fallacy that can most easily be defined as “comparing apples with oranges”.

And if anybody is guilty of it, then Starmer is.

He wants to say that opponents of the war are comparing Russia’s behaviour in invading Ukraine with Nato’s posturing immediately before.

But in fact, the anti-war protesters were comparing Nato’s willingness to allow Ukraine to join the organisation – so it could put military bases on that country’s border with Russia, with Russia’s concerns that it was being encircled by members of an organisation hostile to it.

The language used by Nato and representatives of its member states was highly provocative, while ignoring the concerns that had been expressed to them – as Russian President Putin showed when he singled out the idiotic bluster of UK foreign secretary Liz Truss.

Starmer’s claim makes it seem as though these anti-war protesters are actually supporting Russia’s war – which is a clear contradiction of their fundamental position.

But then, he is (apparently) taking orders from the Conservative Party.

Incidentally, Starmer apparently used Ukraine as an excuse not to attend a regional Labour conference – but instead of actually doing anything related to that crisis, he went to Birmingham’s Erdington constituency to try to shore up crumbling support for his right-wing candidate there:

The genuine left-wing alternative – Dave Nellist – is enjoying considerable grassroots support, which is why the mainstream media are doing all they can to cancel him.

As I type this, BBC Radio West Midlands is holding a “debate” with “some of” the candidates. Nellist isn’t among them, having been deliberately excluded, it seems:

So there you have it.

The mass media – headed by your lovable, “impartial” BBC – are suppressing the left-wing candidate in this important local election, while Tory stooge Starmer has been snubbing his party members to go canvassing on a fake lefty ticket.

I only hope listeners boycott the BBC debate and go to meet Nellist at the Erdington Club rally instead.

And then let’s see a huge vote for Nellist rather than Starmer’s puppet on Thursday.

Source: Keir Starmer warns Labour MPs anyone attacking Nato will be booted out | The Independent

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People of Erdington: if this makes sense, vote yourselves a new MP on March 3

Dave Nellist: a genuine alternative to the right-wing political coalition that is strangling the UK?

Remember Dave Nellist, the socialist candidate for Birmingham Erdington standing on the TUSC ticket, as part of the People’s Alliance of the Left?

Here’s a short message from his campaign on Twitter:

If you’re a voter in Erdington and this makes good sense to you, then consider helping the campaign via the instructions in tweets six and seven – and vote for Dave on March 3.

You could be helping to start a major change for the better in UK politics.

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By-election after MP’s murder marred by shadow of Boris Johnson

All by herself: Tory Anna Firth has won the Southend West Parliamentary seat that was left vacant after David Amess was killed. Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the Green Party did not contest the seat.

Another Conservative has been voted in as MP for Southend West, after the fatal stabbing of former incumbent David Amess.

The previous MP was fatally stabbed during a constituency surgery on October 15. Ali Harbi Ali, 25, of Kentish Town in London, is to stand trial for his murder next month.

It wasn’t much of a contest. With Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the Green Party not contesting the seat because of the way it fell vacant, Anna Firth won with 12,792 votes.

But only 24 per cent of the electorate bothered to turn out for it and the second most popular thing to do with ballot papers was to spoil them with messages of disgust with Boris Johnson.

According to PA Media, one stated: “Boris do a Brexit – get out”, while another said: “Get Boris out”.

But Firth – a Johnson loyalist – said she would not take those messages back to Westminster with her. Instead – in an early display of ignorance – she said she would “focus on local priorities”.

Weren’t those anti-Boris messages a display of local priorities, then? It seems this new Tory is just more of the same – an ignorant rich kid who will ignore anything she doesn’t want to see.

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Bombshell #NorthShropshire by-election result: MORE reactions

Boris Johnson: “Today I have mostly been combing my hair with a toffee apple and drinking Special Brew” (not This Writer’s comment but it seems to sum up his reaction to the loss of North Shropshire).

You’ve already read my opinion on the North Shropshire by-election (or you can if you click on this link), but that’s no reason not to have fun reading the many other comments that have sprung up since the result was announced!

Let’s start with the Tories:

(We’ll come to Labour very soon!)

I’ve enjoyed seeing people dissecting the Liberal Democrats…

It seems only fair to remind people of what the Yellow Tories did with the Blue Tories – for five years between 2010 and 2015.

But that’s not to let Labour off the hook for its failure in the present day:

(Was the candidate the previous three times a socialist, by any chance?)

Of course, some of it is absolute bilge:

For Corbyn supporters, the real priority has always been defeating the Conservatives. They were foiled in that aim by people who now support Starmer. And Starmer himself has proved unwilling to fight them; the North Shropshire result is a symptom of this.

So defeating the Conservatives requires Starmer to step aside – or be removed – and Labour to adjust its policies so they fall in line with what the majority of people actually want. Sadly those are long-term goals at the moment. It’s how Sir Keir and his supporters want it.

So it seems clear that Mr Corbyn, and his supporters, aren’t the problem. They never were. The problem is Starmer and his people. They are the Tory enablers.

It’s time people like Mr Hopkin, above, realised this – or accepted that they’re pushing a lie.

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#Tories are ignoring the message of the #NorthShropshire by-election – but YOU can bring it home to them


It must take years – maybe decades – of practice to be this ignorant.

After Liberal Democrat Helen Morgan humiliated the Conservatives in one of their heartlands – North Shropshire, defeating their candidate with the seventh-biggest vote swing in by-election victory, Tory chairman Oliver Dowden appeared on the morning media round, telling us all that his party had heard voters’ message “loud and clear”.

He then demonstrated, loud and clear, that his party was ignoring the message of the by-election and would carry on as though nothing had happened.

According to the Mirror,

he claimed the circumstances were “unique” and Boris Johnson “has the vision to get us through this period. He added: “Voters are clearly fed up and they want us to get on with the job and focus on the job.”

Oh, really?

On BBC Breakfast, Dowden said, “Voters … were fed up with a byelection that was called because of sleaze allegations; they were fed up with all the sort of stories that are going on at the moment.”

Elsewhere, 78-year-old Tory veteran Sir Roger Gale told the BBC’s Today programme that Boris Johnson had taken “two strikes” this week, with his own party’s rebellion against him over new Covid-battling measures and the by-election: “One more strike and he’s out.”

He said: “The Conservative Party has a reputation for not taking prisoners. If the Prime Minister fails the Prime Minister goes.

“We got rid of a good Prime Minister to install Mr Johnson.” [If he really thinks that, then perhaps he should go, too. Theresa May was considered the worst British prime minister since Lord North.]

“Mr Johnson has to prove he’s capable of being a good Prime Minister, and at the moment it’s quite clear the public don’t think that’s the case.”

Clearly, even though he was taking a harder line, this MP was showing that he hasn’t got the message either.

Voters don’t want Boris Johnson to have another chance because they know he’ll only mess it up and create worse problems for us. We want him to go now.

On the social media, members of the public are sending messages to their Tory MPs, saying Johnson has done enough harm to the UK – after the by-election result was announced, they were being called “unforced errors”.

Certainly the scandals over his alleged Christmas parties, over his redecoration of the Downing Street flat he occupies, and over corruption (that led to the resignation of Owen Paterson and the calling of the North Shropshire election) were all such “unforced errors”.

And while Dowden was happy to trot out the sad old 2019 election line that Johnson managed to “get Brexit done”, we now know that his Brexit is a huge attack on our living standards that will reduce the UK economy by four per cent – double the effect of the Covid pandemic that caused whole industries to collapse overnight.

This Writer would certainly encourage anybody who’s had enough of Johnson to write to their MP – if that person is a Tory – and ask them to hand a letter of ‘no confidence’ in to the chair of the backbench 1922 Committee, who will call a vote on it if 54 such notes are received.

You can contact your MP via WriteToThem.com.

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#LiberalDemocrat wins #NorthShropshire by-election in hammer-blow to #BorisJohnson

Helen Morgan: the newly-elected Liberal Democrat MP for North Shropshire.

Liberal Democrat Helen Morgan has taken North Shropshire from the Conservatives in a shock by-election result that is a hammer-blow to Boris Johnson, asking serious questions about his right to continue as prime minister.

The Liberal Democrats turned a Conservative majority of almost 23,000 in the 2019 election into a majority for them of nearly 6,000.

That is a massive swing from the Tories to the Liberal Democrats – apparently the seventh-biggest in by-election history.

It was more than just another by-election – it was a referendum on the leadership of Boris Johnson, and the result was decisively against him.

Sure, turnout was down from the general election’s 67.9 per cent – but high for a by-election at 46.3 per cent.

Looking at both election results in terms of proportion of the electorate voting for the different parties – which is better when the number of people voting varies, in 2019 Conservative Owen Paterson won the support of 43 per cent of the electorate, while Labour had 15 per cent and Liberal Democrat Helen Morgan just 6.9 per cent.

Yesterday (December 16), the same Liberal Democrat candidate was supported by 22 per cent of the electorate, while the Tory candidate had 14.8 per cent. The Labour vote evaporated almost entirely, with that party’s candidate gaining just 4.5 per cent of the possible vote.

The Conservatives lost nearly 24,000 votes – 28.9 per cent of the possible electorate – in a stroke.

Ms Morgan gained many of those Tory voters, along with many Labour supporters who lent her their votes in order to send a clear message to Boris Johnson: “You are not wanted here.”

The winning candidate elaborated on this in her speech. She said Johnson was “no leader”, that his government is “run on lies and bluster” giving the UK a “nightly soap opera of calamity and chaos” and that, for him, “the party is over”.

But it seems clear that the party may also be over for Keir Starmer, over at Labour.

Starmer didn’t bother much with North Shropshire. He certainly didn’t put the campaigning effort into the constituency that the Lib Dems and the Tories did – possibly because he agreed that the Lib Dems stood a better chance of defeating the Tories (even though Labour came second in 2019).

He seems to agree with other parties an awful lot. This seems to be coming across to voters as a lack of confidence in his own party that is putting them off supporting it.

And the Liberal Democrats seem to have become the palatable alternative. They used to be considered the middle-of-the-road party for people who weren’t as right-wing as the Tories or as left-wing as Labour; now it seems they’re the opposition to two right-wing parties that are suddenly finding they can’t take their tribal voters for granted any more.

I don’t think the Liberal Democrats are going to jump to over-optimistic conclusions about this result; they know this was a protest vote that may not be replicated in a general election unless their new MP makes a big impact, standing up for her constituency in Parliament.

But both Labour and the Conservatives have to be scared by this result because it means the public don’t like the direction taken by either main party.

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Let’s hope #NorthShropshire electors think seriously about this before voting [VIDEO]

This is what you get if you vote Tory: Boris Johnson partied it up (he’s seen here asking Christmas Quiz questions for groups of Downing Street workers at a Christmas party last year) while millions of people cancelled their own celebrations and hundreds more died alone because of his social distancing demands. Do the people of North Shropshire want another party boy, or would they rather try to have an MP who actually represents them?

Does Westminster really need another rule-breaking Tory who’ll rave it up at parties rather than work for the interests of everybody in the UK?

That’s the question that should be on the minds of every voter in North Shropshire as they head for the polling stations today (Thursday, December 16, 2021).

The Conservative candidate may have said he does not approve of what is alleged to have happened – but then, Boris johnson said last night that he follows the rules, and if you believe that, then you were born yesterday and shouldn’t be allowed to vote!

Some political agitators are claiming that the Tories who are already in Parliament aren’t guilty of committing crimes because the Metropolitan Police, run by a woman who owes her job to the Tory government, are refusing to investigate the rule-busting Christmas parties last year.

Well, workers at the Met had a bit of a surprise recently, when a mobile billboard used by the media organisation Led By Donkeys broadcast the facts of the case at them in their Scotland Yard offices, to great public interest.

Take a look at the message yourself:

Damning – of both the Met and the Tories.

Do the people of North Shropshire want a member of Parliament who will represent them? Or do they want to send another sponger off to have a party while hundreds of people die?

We’ll find out in a few hours.