Tag Archives: no deal

‘No deal’ Brexit looking more likely as UK negotiator rattles his sabre at the EU

If the UK government is not “scared” of leaving the EU without a trade deal, then it is because the interests of UK government ministers will not be harmed.

Reading between the lines of the BBC’s story, perhaps they expect the taxpayer to fund any businesses in which they have an interest?

The downside is that UK negotiator David Frost is saying your Tory government couldn’t care less if your business crashes to dust as a result of high tariffs that will be imposed by the EU nations in January.

Both sides want a deal agreed next month in order to have it signed off by politicians on both sides of the Channel by the end of the transition period on 31 December.

Differences remain on issues such as fishing and the level of taxpayer support the UK will be able to provide for businesses, also referred to as state aid rules.

The EU has said it wants full access for its boats to fish in UK waters in return for giving the UK fishing industry full access to EU markets.

On state aid, the EU has expressed concern that it could give business in the UK an unfair advantage over their European competitors and Mr Barnier has previously said the EU will require “robust” guarantees in this area if it is to agree a deal.

This Writer would be inclined to suggest that the EU should keep its nose out of the UK’s businesses if we could be sure that taxpayer funding for our firms could be administered in a reasonable way – but that’s not what we’re seeing.

Look at the Covid-19 crisis: the Tories have deliberately manipulated government procurement mechanisms to give whomping great wodges of public money to private companies run by their friends. That’s not reasonable!

On balance, the EU’s insistence on interfering in the way UK businesses are run is not acceptable, though. Does Michel Barnier really think a little state aid is going to make much difference for a single country dealing with the world’s largest trading bloc?

If This Writer was running a large concern, though, I would be worried.

Whatever happens, it seems UK businesses will end up paying large tariffs to sell into the EU, while receiving no support from their own government. Am I right?

Source: Brexit: Negotiator David Frost says UK not scared of walking away – BBC News

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Johnson’s determination to harm UK citizens could force us into ‘no deal’ Brexit

It’s all going his way: but is Boris Johnson trying to engineer a recession that will harm us all, to make his rich friends even richer?

Boris Johnson is saying he will not sacrifice any of the the UK’s rights to self-determination on tax, subsidies, workers rights and so on as the acceptable price of a free trade deal. Does that seem fair to you?

If it does, you’ve probably been fooled by the kind of wordplay that Tories like to use to befuddle the general public.

He means he won’t allow the EU to insist that – for example – UK workers maintain the same rights as they’ve had as members of the bloc.

Any attempt to defend British people from Tory oppression will jeopardise a trade agreement, possibly leading to a “no deal” Brexit.

And let’s not forget that we all have suspicions that this is precisely what Johnson wants; that he has promised it to the shady characters who backed his bid to be Tory leader (and thus prime minister) – who stand to make billions of pounds, having bet on an economic recession post-Brexit.

That’s right: we’re facing the possibility that Johnson is trying to engineer a recession that will harm us all, just to bung a few quid to his mates.

Source: Has Boris Johnson just announced no-deal Brexit for January 2021? – ITV News

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Johnson’s trade hopes dented as ‘no deal’ with Brussels will mean no deal with Japan

This is awkward.

It’s a common belief that Boris Johnson is after no trade deal with the EU, because the hedge fund bosses who financed his bid to become Tory leader have bet on an economic downturn post-Brexit – and the boost to their personal finances will be his reward to them for their support.

But now it seems Japan has said it won’t sign the “quick fire” trade deal Johnson wants with that country, unless it knows the UK has signed a deal with the EU first.

That’s really mixed the saki with the sushi!

Boris Johnson’s hopes of securing a “quick fire” trade deal with Japan before the end of the year have been dented as experts warned it will be dependent on the UK clinching a trade agreement with Brussels first.

The UK wants to offer an “EU plus plus” deal to Tokyo, which will go further than Japan’s existing deal with Brussels, in an attempt to reach an agreement quickly.

Anand Menon, director of The UK in a Changing Europe, an academic think-tank, described the move as “sensible” due to the amount of Japanese investment and trade that comes into the UK.

But he warned the chances of the Government agreeing a deal with Tokyo will be entirely reliant on the type of arrangement London agrees with the EU.

“It is possible [to agree a deal within the year] but Japan will need to know what kind of relationship we will have with the EU, as much of the business they do with us is linked to the EU. The difficulty of accessing the EU from the UK will be a key consideration,” Prof Menon said.

“All of these trade deals are interlinked,” he added.

Source: Brexit deal latest: Boris Johnson warned chances of securing Japanese trade deal hangs on Brussels agreement | inews

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If Johnson thinks he can renege on his Brexit deal, he’s about to get a big wake-up call

Thumb up: but if Boris Johnson goes through with his stated intention to renege on his Brexit deal, the EU will probably tell him what to stick his thumb up.

Boris Johnson seems to think he’s the naughty boy of international politics.

You can just hear him: “Bah! I said we’d impose a border in the middle of the Irish Sea – but I didn’t mean it! What a jape! And what are they going to do? Don’t they know we’re British?”

That is precisely the point, of course.

Being British, he is in no position to go disregarding conditions of his Brexit deal.

If he does, he’ll lose something he wants – like… I don’t know… favourable terms on the continent for City financiers?

We were talking about that only last week, when it seemed likely he would sacrifice the UK’s fishing waters for a nibble at EU financial markets.

Now, it seems Johnson will throw the lot up in the air, just to pretend he told the Eurocrats where to go.

Even though he’ll be dumping himself – and all the rest of us – out in the cold.

Of course, there is another aspect to this – that Johnson wants to anger the EU.

Isn’t that the quickest way to the “no deal” Brexit that will (allegedly) pay back certain dodgy funders for their support in getting him installed as Tory leader – and PM?

Source: Brexit: EU threatens Boris Johnson with ‘sanctions’ if he fails to implement controversial Irish sea goods checks | The Independent

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Tory landslide brings Boris Johnson’s disastrous ‘no deal’ Brexit closer

Dictator Johnson: With an 80-seat Parliamentary majority, he can now do whatever he likes – to you.

Well done, everybody who voted Labour in last week’s general election. You did the right thing – it’s just a shame you didn’t get the result we all needed.

One of the reasons for that, it seems to This Writer, was the polarisation of opinion on Brexit.

The Tories – not just under Boris Johnson, but going back through Theresa May’s nightmare leadership and right back to David Cameron’s horror show – have used their puppets in the mass media to change it from a debate on our future relationship with the European Union into a divisive standoff, pitting family against family, old against young, cosmopolitan against parochial.

And they succeeded, I think partly because they had dragged the process out so long that people were sick of the whole thing.

Labour’s promise to have a decisive answer within six months was unpalatable compared with Johnson’s lie that he’ll have it all sewn up by the end of January. People want it to be over now.

Well, I’ve got news for those people: it won’t be.

Johnson might be promising a vote in Parliament on his Withdrawal Bill on Friday, which will enable to UK to leave the EU on January 31, but of course that’s not the end of the saga. The country’s decoupling will take many years.

But the deal on which MPs will be voting will put us into a “transition” period, with the UK assumed to be clear of the EU by December 31, 2020 – and a top EU official says that won’t happen.

In a leaked recording, Michel Barnier said it would be “unrealistic” to expect a “global negotiation” on trade to be completed within 11 months, meaning that in fact we are likely to leave the EU with no deal.

That will be exactly what Johnson wants, if he really is in cahoots with rich hedge fund managers who have been said to have funded his Tory leadership campaign on the condition that he take us out of the EU without a deal so they can profit from betting on it.

And it will make it possible for Johnson to sell off our remaining national assets – including all those parts of the National Health Service that are worth having – to the United States in the dirty deal that many of us have been foretelling for several months.

And the nearly 14 million people who voted Conservative on December 12? They’ll be remembered as the patsies who made it possible.

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Johnson’s Brexit would leave us worse-off than May’s – but that’s ignoring the main point

Brexiteer: Boris Johnson. Behind him is Jo Swinson, leader of the Liberal Democrats, who seems determined to help him achieve Brexit, by refusing to support a Jeremy Corbyn-led interim government.

Research by academic think tank The UK in a Changing Europe shows that Boris Johnson’s current model of Brexit will leave us worse-off than Theresa May’s.

National income would drop by the equivalent of £2,000 per person – 6.4 per cent less than if we stayed in the EU – under Mr Johnson’s offer, the think tank has claimed.

This is a worse outcome than Theresa May’s proposals (remember them?) – that would leave us all only £1,500 worse-off.

A “no deal” Brexit would be worse than both – taking £2,500 from all our incomes.

Am I the only person in the UK who can see the connection between all three proposals – that they all leave us worse-off than staying in the EU?

Why the blazes are we going ahead with this farce?

It is clearly acknowledged that leaving the European Union will damage all of us financially.

(Sure, there are plenty of people who claim this is nonsense but their evidenceless comments lack one important element: authority.)

Boris Johnson is enormously rich, so he can easily bear a loss of £2,500, I’m sure. Some of us are not in such a privileged position.

In fact, most of us would be defined as “impecunious” – having little or no money – by the likes of BoJob.

We can’t endure such a loss to our household finances; not on top of the cuts to wage and/or benefits that have already been inflicted on us by the Conservatives.

One can understand why Tories like Boris Johnson, Jacob Rees-Mogg and Nigel Farage want to take that money away from us. They need to rob us of any financial independence so we’ll accept whatever servitude they push onto us.

Why do ordinary people want to be worse-off. Do they have some kind of death wish?

Source: Boris Johnson’s Brexit plan would leave everyone in the UK £2,000 worse off, study finds | The Independent

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WATCH: ‘Like dealing with children’ as Downing Street reveals petulant plan to ensure BoJob gets his ‘no deal’ Brexit

Pride before a fall? Downing Street’s threat is only effective if the EU27 countries are really interested in the UK’s co-operation in the future – and, considering what Boris Johnson and the Tories have been doing here, does he really think the UK has anything to offer them?

Remember when it was suggested that Boris Johnson might send two letters to Brussels if he didn’t get a Brexit deal by October 19 – one requesting a delay in Brexit, in accordance with the Benn Act, and one discouraging EU nations from agreeing to it?

Well, it seems that prediction was close to the mark.

In a text message sent to the political editor of The Spectator, Downing Street has said it will indeed send two letters. One will be the request for a delay, as required by the Benn Act.

The other will be an attempt to bully EU nations into rejecting that request, stating that those who reject a delay will “go to the front of the queue” for future co-operation – on matters such as defence – while those who support it will be deemed to have participated in “hostile interference” in the UK’s domestic politics.

Obviously, it is ridiculous to send a request for a delay and then say supporting that request is “hostile interference”. And what about the claim that countries supporting Mr Johnson will “go to the front of the queue” for co-operation? That’s straight out of the Donald Trump phrasebook – but Trump is president of the world’s largest superpower and Boris Johnson… well… isn’t.

Is there even a queue for the UK’s co-operation at the moment? Mr Johnson has proved himself utterly incompetent at foreign affairs and the only conclusion available to foreign powers is that any co-operation they receive from a nation under his leadership will also be utterly incompetent.

If he sends this message, he will put himself on course for yet another humiliation – and he will humiliate the rest of us along with him.

But wait! There’s more.

This is saying the Johnson administration will not take part in negotiations over the conditions in which Brexit would be delayed. He would go away and sulk instead.

And the claim that Mr Johnson will aim to win a future election in order to revoke “the entire EU legal order” is actually a threat against the people of the United Kingdom, who will lose many – if not all – of their legal protections if the EU’s legal structure is erased in one of BoJob’s tantrums.

Furthermore, this threat takes no account of the response by other UK institutions. Only yesterday (Monday, October 7), the highest court in Scotland warned Mr Johnson that he must adhere to the law – and there can be no doubt that Lord Pentland intends to hold him to the spirit of that law, not just its letter.

And what of the response by other political organisations? We have one already – and it puts our petulant prime minister right in his place. It was delivered by Labour’s shadow foreign secretary, Emily Thornberry – a woman who is far more capable than Mr Johnson.

First, let’s have the story as it was delivered by BBC Newsnight‘s Emily Maitlis:

Here’s Ms Thornberry’s response:

“It’s like dealing with children.” Spot on.

When Ms Maitlis suggests that Mr Johnson is trying to make matters hard for Europe, she said: “Let’s see.” She clearly does not believe the EU27 countries will entertain any ultimatum for a single second.

And she’s right! Parliament has passed a law – the Benn Act – which states that, having failed to get a deal, Mr Johnson is legally bound to seek an extension because that is the will of Parliament and Parliament is sovereign. The powers-that-be in Brussels know that, and are therefore likely to pay scant regard to schoolboy threats that have no substance.

Already the Twitter wits are having their fun:

https://twitter.com/laurawenn1/status/1181327839074881537

We can all look forward to the moment the EU negotiators have their fun with this silliness too.

Crunch time for the UK constitution as BoJob is ordered to follow the law – or else

Not yet, but maybe soon: Boris Johnson has been warned by the courts that he must obey the Benn Act and delay Brexit if he can’t get a deal. If he refuses, will he end up in the clink?

Supporters of a “no deal” Brexit were celebrating prematurely today, after Scotland’s highest court threw out a legal bid to force Boris Johnson to apply to delay the UK’s departure from the EU.

Judge Pentland of the Court of Sessions said there could be “no doubt that the prime minister had agreed to abide by the law”, so there was no need for “coercive orders” against the government or Mr Johnson.

So that’s that, as far as the Brexiteers, the ERG and no doubt BoJob himself are concerned. They seem to think the ruling means he can avoid sending the message if no deal is struck, and the UK will crash out disastrously.

They are, of course, completely wrong.

Judge Pentland made his attitude perfectly clear: Mr Johnson has already told the court in written submissions that he will seek an extension of the Brexit deadline if no deal is struck by October 19 – and the court will hold him to it.

He said that was a binding legal commitment, and added:

I approach matters on the basis that it would be destructive of one of the core principles of constitutional propriety and of the mutual trust that is the bedrock of the relationship between the court and the Crown for the Prime Minister or the Government to renege on what they have assured the court.

In other words, if BoJob dares to contradict the Benn Act in the tiniest detail, he’ll be starting a constitutional crisis the like of which has never been seen in the United Kingdom.

Of course, that probably won’t stop him.

So the question becomes whether the institutions of the United Kingdom are being run by people capable of preventing the prime minister from doing further harm, once he crosses the line.

It’s looking like crunch time for one, the other or both.

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Brexit myth-busting: a clean break? It can’t be done!

Ironic: This UK Government advert says, “Get ready for Brexit” – but it seems the organisation least ready for it is the UK Government.

As EU leaders ask Boris Johnson for another attempt at a Brexit deal, let’s debunk another myth – that “no deal” Brexit would be a ‘clean break’.

Here’s Simon Wren-Lewis on Mainly Macro again:

A clean break Brexit inevitably leads to 10 years at least of negotiation with the EU, negotiations in which the UK side will eventually be forced to accept the terms the ERG now despise.

The longer our government holds out in those negotiations the longer it takes.

In reality the so called clean break Brexit is a promise to continue Brexit negotiations but from an even weaker position.

So leaving with “no deal” will in fact weaken the UK’s negotiating position with the European Union and force us to accept future trading conditions that will harm the country.

Source: mainly macro: How the Brexiters have controlled the narrative around Brexit

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Brexit myths debunked: there has never been any need to threaten a ‘no deal’ Brexit

“Duper’s delight”: Boris Johnson helped undermine attempts to get a Brexit deal through Parliament. Now he is accusing Parliament of sabotaging attempts to get a deal. What hypocrisy! What duplicity! What a [insert description here]!

Having established that there will not be rioting in the streets if Brexit doesn’t happen on October 31, shall we consider the silly claim that the UK should threaten the EU with the possibility of a “no deal” departure?

Here’s Simon Wren-Lewis in Mainly Macro again:

The myth of the need to threaten No Deal as part of the negotiations soon became another piece of the entrenched narrative.

I am sure some Brexiters believed it, because they never bothered to understand how the Single Market worked. It was forced upon other Brexiters when the cavalry in the form of the German auto-manufacturers who were going to force the German government into concessions never turned up.

But it soon began to have a much more sinister purpose.

It was not long before many in the ERG realised the only form of Brexit they would be happy with was No Deal, and from then on their aim was to try and achieve No Deal by default.

What better ruse was there for this group than to spread the idea that we could not rule out No Deal for negotiation reasons.

So you see, “no deal” is the kind of Brexit that the swivel-eyed screamers of the far-right Conservative party-within-a-party, the European Research Group, want – not in the interests of the UK, but to serve their own selfishness.

This serves Boris Johnson very well as, if headlines are to be believed, he is in hock to a shadowy group of hedge fund bosses who have bet heavily on a “no deal” Brexit crashing the economy and causing misery to millions of us, and stand to make billions of pounds from it.

The reason a deal has not been done is because of the actions of our current Prime Minister, his predecessor, and those in the ERG who are pushing this narrative.

Parliament has failed to agree a deal because the ERG do not want a deal.

Also ludicrous is the idea that a No Deal Brexit fulfills the wishes of the 52% who voted in the referendum, when those campaigning to leave in the referendum said a deal was certain to be done.

This ties in with the false claim that we should leave on October 31 because Parliament has had three years to get a deal and has failed, of course.

A deal could have happened long ago, under Theresa May. It would not have been a good deal, but it had been agreed with the EU.

It failed because the ERG – led by Boris Johnson’s leader of the Commons, Jacob Rees-Mogg and supported by Johnson himself – made it fail.

So we can see that Boris Johnson and his friends have deliberately sabotaged attempts to forge a Brexit deal – and are working to ruin the UK economy – apparently in order to cash in on the chaos afterwards.

Have YOU donated to my crowdfunding appeal, raising funds to fight false libel claims by TV celebrities who should know better? These court cases cost a lot of money so every penny will help ensure that wealth doesn’t beat justice.

https://www.crowdjustice.com/case/mike-sivier-libel-fight/


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