Tag Archives: slump

Humiliation for centrists: Starmer falls nine points behind Tories when they said he’d be 20 ahead

Keir the clueless: he genuinely doesn’t know what he is doing wrong.

It has all gone horribly wrong for the Labour centrists and their figurehead Keir Starmer.

His plan to fool left-wing, traditional Labour supporters into electing him as leader and then push them out of the party succeeded a treat.

The problem is, the rest of his strategy – to ditch the left-wing policies he used to woo those voters as no longer needed, replace them with centrist (read right-wing/sub-Tory) policies and win support from Lib Dem/Tory voters – has failed utterly.

In what should be his honeymoon period, Starmer’s new New Labour has slumped in the latest Survation poll (Survation is currently the most reliable opinion pollster) to a level almost as low as that which his followers are believed to have engineered for Jeremy Corbyn in last year’s general election.

But that outcome was based on lies and this is due to Starmer’s actual behaviour.

It will fall lower, but the ridicule from critics on the left is already bad enough:

Crude though it may be, Cornish Damo has a point, I think.

Neither Starmer nor his “centrist” supporters will accept it for a while – but there’s plenty of time until the next general election.

Once he’s had a few local defeats, I reckon the rank-and-file members will be clamouring for a return to Corbyn-style policies…

And the removal of “centrism” from Labour altogether. We’ve heard the “broad church” arguments; the right-wingers need to remember that, as a rule, people don’t start fights with fellow members of the same church.

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Should Labour be worried about opinion poll slump? Apparently not.

Not bothered: This was taken on an earlier occasion but may well illustration Jeremy Corbyn and Jennie Formby’s response to the Opinium poll.

A new opinion poll has suggested the fortunes of the Labour and Conservative parties have been reversed, with Labour falling six points and the Tories up four, giving Mrs May’s party a seven-point lead.

The Opinium poll for The Observer gives the Conservatives 41 per cent and Labour 34 per cent. It suggests that Labour has lose support from both sides of the Brexit debate.

Approval for Theresa May’s handling of Brexit has risen to -30 per cent, while approval for Jeremy Corbyn’s handling of it has fallen to -40 per cent, according to the poll.

It also shows increased support for Mrs May’s deal – although most people still think it is bad.

But is it cause for Labour MPs to be concerned?

Consider:

There’s a lot here to support “Bob”‘s claim. What, suddenly support for Labour slumps and Mrs May enjoys a surge? After the month she’s just had?

It’s not realistic.

Shaun Lawson has written a Twitter thread that appeals for common sense, as you can see:

Is this why Theresa May is trying to bribe Labour MPs with financial incentives for their constituencies if they support her deal? If they refuse, she can say not only that they have betrayed their voters by turning down the investment, but also that they have betrayed Brexit – “the will of the people”.

It’s interesting that some hard-right (centrists? Don’t make me laugh) Labour MPs are planning to quit the party. I’ve seen a rumour that Jeremy Corbyn has been given an ultimatum – to show he has achieved real change over claims of anti-Semitism in the party within a week – in order to provide these MPs with an excuse to leave that would be extremely damaging to the party they’re planning to quit.

So there are many possible reasons for Labour to be slumping in the polls, including misdirection from the Tories (and their puppet media) over Brexit and also false claims about Jeremy Corbyn from MPs who no longer represent the interests of party members.

But let’s get back to the substantive issue: Does this poll mean anything?

I’d say the answer to that is no – for a very simple reason provided in this response to the first post in Shaun’s thread:

https://twitter.com/DelicateDave/status/1091860961462534144

Polls can influence politicians as well as the public.

But it seems Mrs May is not sufficiently influenced to call an election – despite having been urged to do so since before Christmas.

Perhaps she knows something we don’t.

Perhaps that’s why we shouldn’t be overly concerned about an outlier among recent opinion polls.

Exports and the economy slump under Tories

Since last June’s Brexit vote goods export volumes are up 6 per cent. But over that period import volumes are also up 6.3 per cent, suggesting no contribution to GDP growth from net goods trade [Image: Bloomberg News].


This is Tory Britain:

A disappointing performance for exports in June pushed the trade deficit higher than expected according to the latest batch of official data, frustrating hopes of a currency-driven rebalancing of the UK economy.

Manufacturing also stagnated in the month and construction went backwards adding to the impression of Britain losing momentum as the clock ticks down to Brexit in 2019.

Goods export volumes fell 4.9 per cent in June, the biggest monthly fall since June 2016, while imports were up 1.5 per cent, said the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Read more: UK trade deficit higher than forecasts as goods exports drop near 5% in June


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Deluded Tory MP says sex education increases teen pregnancies

[Image: Daily Mirror.]

[Image: Daily Mirror.]

Right-wing loonie Philip Davies is at it again, according to The Independent.

The Tory MP for Shipley, who came to prominence a few years ago as the original Tory who suggested disabled people should work for less than the minimum wage, has now claimed that sex education is fueling an increase in teenage pregnancies.

If he had bothered to check the figures, Davies might have known that teen pregnancies are at their lowest in 40 years.

And that is only to be expected.

Under Conservative governments, sex slumps while suicides rise.

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