Energy customers are hit AGAIN by extra costs as grid is upgraded
Share this post:
Household energy bills are to rise – AGAIN – in order to fund investment in the transmission network. Wasn’t this work supposed to drive bills down?
Here’s the BBC:
“Household energy bills will rise to help fund a £28bn investment in the UK’s energy network.
“Energy regulator Ofgem has approved the funding in a five-year plan to improve electricity and gas grids. The money will go towards maintaining gas networks and strengthening the electricity transmission network.
“The work is estimated to add £108 to energy bills by 2031.
Please take a moment to complete the Vox Political Reader Survey.
Your answers are anonymous and will help shape future coverage.
Click here to take part.
“But Ofgem said people would end up saving about £80 more than they otherwise would, as the investment will help lower the reliance on imported gas and make wholesale energy cheaper, leading to a net energy bill rise of about £30 a year.”
I’m old enough to remember what we were told when privatisation was announced, back in the 1980s – that bills would be cheaper and the system would be upgraded, due to private investment.
This announcement is the latest proof that those claims were fantasy from the start.
To read the rest, head over to The Whip Line.
A subscription unlocks all my analysis and helps keep independent UK political journalism going.
Share this post:
Wes Streeting’s mental health review will attack young people already crippled due to Covid
Share this post:
The BBC strapline says it all: “Streeting orders review of mental health services as welfare bills rise”.
This is not about helping people; it is about finding an excuse to say they are not ill and ignore them.
Here’s the BBC’s actual article:
“Health Secretary Wes Streeting is launching an independent review into rising demand for mental health, ADHD and autism services in England.
“It will look at both whether there is evidence of over-diagnosis and what gaps in support exist.
“It comes as ministers seek to tackle a growing welfare bill – although the Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) has stressed this review is running separately to that.
“Led by clinical psychologist Prof Peter Fonagy, the new review’s findings will be published in Summer 2026.
“NHS figures show that the number of adults aged 16 to 64 reporting mental health problems reached 22.6% in 2023-24, up from 17.6% in 2007.
“Rates are higher in the young and among the unemployed.
“It is thought one of the factors in long waits was that people who did not necessarily need treatment were ending up being referred on to waiting list when practical support, such as help with social or financial issues or a short-burst of talking therapy could provide the solution.”
This has the ring of a renewed attempt to deny the mental illnesses suffered by young people as a result of cack-handed handling of their well-being during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Please take a moment to complete the Vox Political Reader Survey.
Your answers are anonymous and will help shape future coverage.
Click here to take part.
(Before going forward, let’s acknowledge that Peter Fonagy has a reputation for institutional alignment and service reconfiguration rather than grassroots advocacy or patient-led approaches. His involvement signals this is not a review that is going to begin by assuming people are ill because they say they are ill. It sets expectations.)
(Oh, and the “overdiagnosis” narrative was already being used politically, long before the review was even proposed. In other words:
- Ministers want the conclusion
- They have appointed a panel to provide it
- They will then use it legislatively
That sequencing makes a mockery of the claim that this is a neutral clinical inquiry.)
I wrote about this in October this year (2025) after it was revealed that Boris Johnson’s Conservative government – that was in office during the pandemic – had failed to protect children properly.
Those children are now young adults – and many of them are claiming to suffer with the conditions that are to be examined by the review.
Let’s revisit what I wrote in October because it is even more important now:
“[Government] failures caused quantifiable, lasting harm to children and young people who were going through the education system at the time.
“The most visible damage was academic: pupils lost months of direct teaching, and although online learning filled some gaps, it was hugely unequal — children from wealthier families often had laptops, quiet spaces, and support, while poorer children did not.
“The Education Endowment Foundation found that by 2022, pupils in disadvantaged areas were on average six months behind in reading and nine months behind in maths compared with pre-pandemic levels.
“Exam outcomes in 2021 and 2022 bore this out: the attainment gap between rich and poor pupils widened for the first time in a decade.
“Arguably the most worrying legacies are behavioural and attendance problems: persistent absenteeism – missing more than 10 per cent of school sessions – has doubled compared with pre-pandemic levels.
“Suspensions and exclusions are at record highs, as schools struggle with pupils who have missed key socialisation milestones.
“Teachers report an increase in disruptive behaviour, anxiety, and disengagement from learning.
“Many children, especially those with special educational needs, found the return to school traumatic after months of isolation and unstructured time.
“One of the most striking and well-documented effects, particularly for younger children, was a delay in speech and language proficiency: nurseries and reception classes reported marked delays in speech, vocabulary, and social communication after long periods at home; there was a marked increase in referrals for speech and language therapy; and The Royal College of Speech and Language Therapists has confirmed that demand for services is still higher than before the pandemic, especially among children who started school in 2020–2021.
“The next few effects are closely linked. Firstly, children fell into screen addiction and sedentary habits. Children’s screen time soared during lockdowns, not just for learning but for entertainment and social contact.
“Public Health England has reported – consequential? – increases in obesity, poor sleep, and reduced physical fitness, with 2021 data showing one in four Year 6 children classed as obese — the highest rate ever recorded.
“The habits established then have proved hard to break: more sedentary behaviour, less outdoor play, and higher reported anxiety linked to social media dependence.
“This leads us directly to what is perhaps the most enduring consequence: mental and emotional illness.
“NHS data show that one in five children aged eight–16 now has a probable mental health disorder — up from one in nine before the pandemic. Waiting lists for CAMHS (Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services) have exploded.
“Many children developed anxiety about illness, separation, or social interaction; others experienced depression linked to loneliness or lost milestones (exams, prom, team sports).
“Teachers report that resilience and concentration levels are significantly lower than before 2020.”
Next came the most important part of my piece – the part that accused the current Labour government of trying to ignore the harm done to these young people – and in so doing, perpetuate that harm:
“Let’s clarify this in the minds of our law-makers: mental and emotional illness caused by pandemic lockdowns is now directly responsible for the surge in sickness and disability benefit claims by people aged up to 22.
“NHS data show that the number of under-25s receiving treatment for anxiety and depression has nearly doubled since 2020.
“The same cohort — those who were teenagers during lockdown — are now the young adults showing up in PIP and ESA claims, often with diagnoses of long-term anxiety, PTSD-type symptoms, or neurodevelopmental issues exacerbated by social isolation and disrupted education.
“So when the current government describes the rise in sickness and disability claims as a “fiscal problem” rather than a public health legacy, it is effectively denying the causal chain that began with state policy failures during the pandemic years.
“These are people who are suffering the direct consequences of being abandoned by government during the pandemic, and the current Labour government’s attitude to them is that it cannot afford the cost of putting them on benefit, and the NHS cannot cope with their treatment requirements (look at the size of the waiting lists) so instead it will legislate that they cannot be ill. That is how the government plans to fix its administrative problem: by denying reality. Isn’t that a worse “dereliction of duty” than Johnson’s?
“The Johnson era’s dereliction was a failure to plan and protect.
“The Labour government’s emerging one – already active in its refusal to give disability-related Universal Credit to anybody aged 22 or under – is a failure to acknowledge and respond.
“Current and recent rhetoric from Rachel Reeves, Liz Kendall and others frames benefit growth as a “crisis of inactivity”, not of health. Yet the data show that:
- Mental and behavioural disorders now account for more than half of all new incapacity claims among 16-24-year-olds.
- CAMHS waiting lists exceed 500,000 children and teenagers, with some waiting more than a year for assessment.
- Adult mental-health services are also at record overload.
“In other words, these young claimants are not malingering — they’re the same children the Covid Inquiry has… described as suffering lasting harm.
“To legislate tighter benefit conditions or “redefine” sickness so fewer people qualify is therefore to re-victimise the very generation already harmed by previous government failure.
“Labour’s current dereliction of duty is worse than Johnson’s because his was failure in the face of uncertainty; Reeves and Starmer’s is failure in full knowledge of the consequences.
“In 2020, children were abandoned because the state had no plan. In 2025, those same children — now young adults — are being abandoned again because the state has no heart.”
Isn’t Streeting’s review intended to “‘redefine’ sickness so fewer people qualify as being mentally ill”?
Isn’t it his plan to “legislate that they cannot be ill” – not only because the government “cannot afford the cost of putting them on benefit”, but also because “the NHS cannot cope with their treatment requirements”?
Don’t you wish he’d just come clean and admit it?
“Sorry, kids, but we don’t want to spend any money on the treatment you obviously need, so we’re going to pretend you’re not sick. Bye!”
And he calls himself a Labour minister.
Share this post:
Business rate rise belies Labour’s claim to be supporting UK pubs
Share this post:
They say one thing – and they do another.
Labour’s spokespeople – most notably Rachel Reeves – have been talking themselves blue in the face, trying to convince hospitality businesses and their patrons that the government wants them to thrive.
But in practice, every move the government makes has worsened the situation.
The latest is a forthcoming rise in business rates that – while expected – is disproportionate when weighed against footfall and takings, which have fallen significantly.
The BBC has reported it as follows:
“Pub landlords have warned the government of “dire consequences” if planned increases in business rates come into force in 2026.
“But a Treasury spokesperson insisted the government is “protecting pubs, restaurants and cafes with the Budget’s £4.3bn support package.”
“Landlord Luke Honeychurch, said the tax increase on his pub would leave him “unable to pay myself a wage at all”.
““At the moment we pay around £100 a month,” he explained.
“Next year, it will go up to £820 a month”.
““At the moment I’m already only taking half the minimum wage, around £6 an hour. But this is going to mean me earning nothing at all. That’s just unsustainable.””
Government spokespeople keep talking up a planned £4.3 billion “support package” – but hospitality businesspeople seem to consider this to be more window dressing than a serious attempt to save the industry.
Please take a moment to complete the Vox Political Reader Survey.
Your answers are anonymous and will help shape future coverage.
Click here to take part.
The Budget has confirmed that from April 1, 2026, the government will apply new, permanently lower business-rates multipliers for “Retail, Hospitality and Leisure” properties – shops, pubs, restaurants, and leisure venues – with rateable values below £500,000.
For these “qualifying” properties, the “small business RHL multiplier” will be 38.2p, as opposed to the “standard RHL multiplier” of 43.0p (for 2026/27) — meaning that their rate bills will lower than the standard business-rates.
The aim is said to be to give long-term certainty and structural support to high-street hospitality & retail businesses — rather than temporary, year-by-year relief.
This is completely undermined by the fact that hospitality properties have been revalued and are likely to see their business rates increase by up to 76 per cent at the same time.
The government is offering transitional relief, with bills capped for a short period rather than rising by the full amount instantly.
The government has also signalled it will encourage licensing authorities (local councils) to grant more flexibility to pubs, restaurants, and venues — easier licences for late-night openings or extended hours, outdoor dining, and generally simplified planning/licencing conditions for hospitality.
This is supposed to help high-street hospitality venues adapt, diversify, and — in theory — increase revenue opportunities rather than strictly limiting them to “old-style pub hours.” Landlords say it is pointless at a time when they are limiting their opening hours due to lack of footfall – because people can’t afford to come out.
The government also says it will appoint a “Retail and Hospitality Envoy” to champion these businesses internally — claiming that this shows a commitment at policy-level to support and review regulation around the sector. More window-dressing?
There are huge problems with the government’s plan – that ministers have not bothered to address:
The new multipliers (38.2p / 43p) and business rate relief only apply to properties with rateable values of less than £500,000. Pubs or hospitality venues with higher valuation (or larger footprint) may pay the “high-value” multiplier instead.
Because properties are being re-valued (based on 2024 data), many pubs are getting much higher “rateable values”, which — even with a lower multiplier — will mean they may end up paying nearly twice as much as before.
The transitional relief and protections are temporary/phased, so pubs may still face significant increases to their bills if costs (wages, energy, inflation) continue rising and customers’ prosperity does not improve enough for them to start coming out again.
And industry representatives have been ignored.
Remember the #TaxedOut campaign?
It called for the restoration of a 75 per cent business rate relief scheme that was scrapped this year; the new scheme doesn’t provide anything close to that kind of protection.
It also called for a reduction of VAT on hospitality services.
And like many others, it demanded the reversal of the plan to increase employer National Insurance contributions for employees.
These would have been lifelines for hospitality businesses, but Rachel Reeves and other government ministers have withdrawn them.
There are regional variations: I live in Wales, where the hospitality/retail-leisure sector currently benefits from a 40 per cent discount on non-domestic rates bills for eligible pubs, restaurants, hotels and so on, subject to a cap of £110,000 per business across all Welsh properties.
And the Welsh Government announced this month (December 2025) a package of extra support, meaning that if a business’s rates bill would increase significantly due to the revaluation, the rise will be phased in over two years if the increase is more than £300 next year.
Is a collapse of pub culture really on the cards?
From what I understand, the situation could become very bad indeed – perhaps worse than many policymakers seem to appreciate.
The combination of revaluation, tapered relief and broader cost pressures means many pubs may effectively see a doubling of business-rates bills over a short period — which for small, tight-margin pubs can be the difference between survival and closure.
The warnings from people on the ground suggest the numbers are already “unpayable”. This is not about a few marginal venues: it feels systemic.
Because pubs — especially in smaller towns and rural areas — are social infrastructure, closures hit beyond economics and into community cohesion; these are hubs for socialising – working-class gathering places. So this crisis has a cultural dimension, and is not just about business-accounting.
And the fact that many demands from the #TaxedOut campaign remain unmet means the current plan can only be considered a stopgap, not a solution.
From what we’re seeing, it is more than plausible that many more pubs, especially those that are independent, could close in the coming years.
The outcome may well be consolidation: chains and big operators that can absorb shocks survive, while smaller locals vanish – exactly what the landlords in the BBC article feared.
And we should fear it too. The government may welcome it – but do you really want the price you pay for a night out to be dictated by a faceless corporation whose only concern is how much cash they can screw out of you?
Share this post:
How an Oxford economist got Labour – and the Budget – wrong.
Share this post:
Simon Wren-Lewis, Oxford professor and Mainly Macro blogger, seems to be a little naive in his understanding of the Labour Party’s current direction and the meaning of its policies.
You can read his full article here.
But in deference to readers who have complained that I quote my sources too much, let’s dive into the issues he raises….
To read the rest – and it’s top-notch analysis, head over to The Whip Line.
A subscription unlocks all my analysis and helps keep independent UK political journalism going.
Share this post:
Plan to scrap some jury trials is a wrong-headed power-grab
Share this post:
David Lammy’s plan to scrap jury trials for crimes with sentences of less than three years is a serious blow against justice, according to the evidence.
The Justice Secretary announced a scheme in which juries will be removed from trials of all but the most serious crimes, like murder, robbery and rape. The less serious crimes will be heard by volunteer community magistrates.
“Lammy said the new system would get cases dealt with a fifth faster than jury trials.
“He added that it was necessary as current projections have Crown Court case loads reaching 100,000 by 2028, from the current backlog of almost 78,000.
“This means that currently a suspect being charged with an offence today may not reach trial until 2030.
“Six out of 10 victims of rape are said to be withdrawing from prosecutions because of delays.
“A defendant’s right to a jury trial would also be restricted to prevent them from “gaming the system”, Lammy said.
“The reforms to the jury process will remove the right for defendants to ask for a jury trial where a case can be dealt with by either magistrates or a new form of judge-only Crown Court.
“Critics of restrictions to trial by jury – including almost all barristers – say it won’t have any impact on the backlogs because the real problem has been cuts to the Ministry of Justice.”
This was borne out by barrister Joanna Hardy Susskind when she appeared on the BBC’s Politics Live show to explain the reasons the legal profession are against the change…
To read the rest – and this one is well worth reading, I promise you, head over to The Whip Line.
A subscription unlocks all my analysis and helps keep independent UK political journalism going.
Share this post:
- ☕ Support Vox Political on Ko-fi or donate via PayPal
- 📘 Buy our books — political analysis and satire you won’t find elsewhere
- 📨 Join the mailing list for real headlines, direct to your inbox
- 🔗 Follow us on Facebook and Twitter/X
Welcome to Vox Political – watch this first!
Get The Whip Line – July 2025!
Support independent journalism — and receive Vox Political’s latest collection of fearless reporting.
💻 Donate £15 via Ko-fi and get the eBook
📚 Donate £20 via Ko-fi and get the paperback
👉 Claim your copy now:
Support on Ko-fi →
No billionaire backers. Just sharp, uncompromising political journalism — powered by readers like you.
Grab your copy today — support real journalism and keep it free from corporate influence!





