This Writer’s initial reaction to Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey’s claim that a no-deal Brexit will cost more than Covid was:
Is that because most of the cost of Covid was due to short-term profiteering by Tory crony companies?
The cost to the UK of this nonsense is short-term, though; when the pandemic is finally under control, the profiteers won’t have an opportunity to screw any more cash out of the Treasury.
But the loss of the free trade deals the UK enjoyed as a member of the European Union will have long-term effects that may last many years:
LSE modelling estimates a reduction in GDP worth 8% over a decade compared with remaining in the EU.
Asked about the research, Bailey said economic models suggested there would be long-term consequences, as it could take a long time for the UK to adjust to a new trading relationship. “It takes a much longer period of time for the real side of the economy to adjust to the change in openness and change in the profile of trade,” he said.
Bailey was talking about the effects of a “no-deal” Brexit but be warned that even a deal will place the UK at a disadvantage.
Source: No-deal Brexit to cost more than Covid, Bank of England governor says | Politics | The Guardian
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