Tag Archives: defeat

Resigning Sunak spad says Tories are heading for ‘most almighty of defeats’

You know that shot This Site uses of Keir Starmer in a BBC TV studio with his lips compressed in that ‘I’ve done something wrong’ expression? This is the Rishi Sunak version of that.

This Writer can’t recall ever hearing of Will Dry before, so I’m reluctant to take any words of his at face value.

That said, this is pleasant to read – although the thought of Labour under Keir Starmer running the country for 10 years strikes me as optimism by his cheerleaders and a potential disaster for the UK if it happens:

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Government defeated by Lords on Rwanda treaty

The House of Lords has called for the new UK-Rwanda treaty to be delayed until Kigali improves its asylum procedures:

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The motion is not binding on the government.

But note:

According to the BBC:

Next week peers will begin debating the bill itself, which aims to prevent legal challenges to deporting asylum seekers to Rwanda.

While non-binding, the vote on the treaty gives an indication of the level of opposition Mr Sunak is likely to face when the bill is debated in the Lords.

Rishi Sunak is in trouble here.


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Would a heavy election defeat to Labour lead to a (more) fascist Tory government after five years?

It seems the Conservative Party is heading for electoral oblivion after the next general election, with current projections leaving them with around 149 seats.

It’s still too many. They could come back again at the following general election, after Keir Starmer and his Starmtroopers make the diabolical mess of government that the smart people all expect.

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And if analysis like the following is to be believed, that would be a disaster for the following reason:

A catastrophic election defeat could lead to the parliamentary Conservative party tilting towards the populist right, Guardian analysis has indicated.

A projection of the seats the Conservatives would retain if there was a further two percentage point swing to Labour before election day, using data from Electoral Calculus, shows that about 40% of the remaining MPs would come from this wing of the party.

If an election were held with polling as it is now, the projection suggests the Tories would plummet to just 125 MPs, down from 365 in 2019. A 2% swing in their favour would bring the number to 175 – but a 2% shift away would leave the party with just 72 MPs.

It is in this last scenario that the dominance of the populist right would be strongest, both in terms of numbers but also by the metric of which leading MPs from each wing remain.

Kemi Badenoch and Suella Braverman, seen as the frontrunners to succeed Rishi Sunak from the party’s populist right, have such safe seats that they would keep them under any scenario.

Think about that. The most right-wing Tories would keep their seats under any scenario. That’s an advert for proportional representation to be brought in during the next Parliamentary term, right there!

Otherwise, these (call them what they are) fascists are going to populate their party with like-minded candidates and then fill the media – both mainstream and social – with populist tripe that will fire up the easily-led to support them.

Then, when the next election happens (2029 at the latest), after five years of Starmerrhoid stasis with no economic improvement and an NHS now entirely turned over to private-sector asset-strippers, and with no electoral reform to prevent them from getting back in, the Tories will be able to storm back into power.

The Green Benches will be full of blackshirts. What a let-down for everyone who remembers World War II – or at least remembers people who took part in it.

By all means, let’s get rid of the Tories.

But for all our sakes, let’s do it responsibly. Don’t just vote Labour, even if you hate Starmer and all his sub-Tory policies, just because you think Labour’s the only other party that can win. Vote for whoever offers policies that will genuinely help you. That’s what you’re supposed to do!

Source: Heavy election defeat could lead to Tory lurch to right, analysis shows | Conservatives | The Guardian


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Kremlin works to deflect blame for Russian defeats in Ukraine

Vladimir Putin: meetings with the military have been cancelled, apparently while the Kremlin works to clear him of blame for defeats in Ukraine.

Meetings between Vladimir Putin and his top military officials have been postponed while the Kremlin tries to find a way to deflect blame for Russia’s recent defeats in Ukraine, it has been suggested.

According to an assessment published on Tuesday by the Institute for the Study of War*, the Kremlin is trying to clear Putin of any responsibility for Russia’s disastrous retreat and instead place the blame on “underinformed military advisors within Putin’s circle.”

If military advisors are “underinformed”, then one would imagine Putin would be desperate to hold these meetings, find out where the rot has set in, and put a stop to it.

But perhaps that is too reasonable a point of view.

Commentators, discussing the Russian rout earlier this week, have suggested that the defeats have a more structural basis – that, Russia now being in the hands of corrupt oligarchs who owe their positions to Putin, investment on military equipment has collapsed; they have kept as much cash as they could and invested only in the cheapest and shoddiest weaponry.

As a result, in the face of cutting-edge technology sent to Ukraine by western powers, Russian soldiers have been outmatched and forced to back away.

You can appreciate that such news would not be welcomed by the leader who had made it possible for this to happen.

With Russia, as always, it will be practically impossible to find out what’s really going on.

As ever, we’ll have to draw our conclusions from any changes in strategy over the next few weeks, if not months.

* A Washington-based think tank.

Source: Putin pushed off meetings with top military officials as the Kremlin tries to deflect blame for Russia’s disastrous retreat

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Who does Boris Johnson think he is, trying to tell us what we like or don’t?

Big ugly party bore: rather than act on the criticisms implicit in his double by-election defeat, Johnson is trying to tell us that people who voted his Tories out were letting off a “safety valve” and really want him to carry on as if nothing has happened. WRONG! We’re sick of him and the endless torrent of nonsense that flows from his mouth.

Boris Johnson isn’t going to win back voters by trying to tell us all what we think.

After being defeated in two by-elections last Thursday (June 23), Johnson tried to play down their significance by claiming voters are fed up of hearing about things he had “stuffed up”:

Mr Johnson said: “For a long time people were hearing not enough about the things that really matter to them.

“People were absolutely fed up hearing about things I stuffed up, this endless churn of stuff, when they wanted to hear what is this guy doing.”

No – we were fed up of having a prime minister who continually “stuffed” things up, and angry that everything he ever did was wrong, or corrupt, or outright illegal.

“Politics is about allowing people to have the democratic safety valve of letting off at governments, such as in by-elections.

No – politics is about doing what the people tell you to do, not about trying to tell them what they think.

“But then the job of a leader is to say, well, what is the criticism that really matters here?”

No – well, only partially.

And from this evidence, Johnson has drawn the wrong conclusion and is doing the wrong thing yet again.

Source: Voters fed up of hearing how I ‘stuffed up’ PM says as he plays down by-election defeats

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Grossly distorted report by Starmer supporters predictably blames Corbyn for Labour election defeat

The villain of the piece: Keir Starmer set Labour up to fail with a weak Brexit policy – and a new report has blamed that policy on Jeremy Corbyn. How hypocritical.

Why are the media making such a fuss about a right-wing report that blames Labour’s defeat in the last general election on the party’s then – lefty – leader?

It makes the blood boil to read the distortions in this so-called report, put together by a cabal of Starmer-supporting right-wingers with an anti-Corbyn chip on their collective shoulder who have the cheek to brand themselves “Labour Together”!

Labour backstabbers, more like!

It should be no surprise that all the major members of Labour Together now have prominent roles in the shadow cabinet of Keir Starmer: Ed Miliband, Steve Reed, Lisa Nandy and Jim McMahon. Other right-whingers writing the review included Lucy Powell.

The report claims that the biggest issue in the election was Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership, which had fallen in popularity. It does not correctly describe the reasons for that fall in popularity.

So for example, the report – falsely, in This Writer’s opinion – claims that the departure of backstabbers including Luciana Berger and Chuka Umunna to form the unpopular and ill-fated Independent Group/Change UK/whatever-they-ended-up-calling-themselves led to a collapse in Corbyn’s approval ratings.

It does not state that this could have been because those now-former Labour MPs immediately went on media junkets trashing his leadership and spreading falsehoods about anti-Semitism.

In fact, after his success in the 2017 election, it is widely accepted that Jeremy Corbyn suffered the longest-running and most unfair hate campaign, possibly of any political leader in UK history – with a complicit media lapping up every lie.

Labour “went into the 2019 election without a clear strategy of which voters we needed to persuade or how”, and failed to settle on a coherent message with the power of 2017’s “For the many, not the few”, the report says.

It states: “It was unclear who was in charge” of the election campaign, and relationships were soured by years of infighting which had created a “toxic culture” and “significant strategic and operational dysfunction”.

And it says: Labour was outgunned by the Tories in the digital war, with messages poorly coordinated and most of them failing to reach beyond the party’s base.

All of these three issues can be related to a single cause: treachery against the party leader. We know this because it was very clearly highlighted in the leaked report on the way the party handled anti-Semitism allegations under Corbyn.

Party officers worked hard to present Corbyn as an anti-Semite, to undermine his leadership and to ensure that Labour could not win a general election with him as leader, that report stated.

Mr Starmer has launched an investigation into that leaked report, apparently with the intention of clearing those accused of treachery (and in many cases racism) and tarring the whistleblowers.

One criticism that rings true is the fact that the Conservatives’ “Get Brexit Done” message was more popular with voters than Labour’s offer of a new referendum on membership of the EU. But the report seems to forget that this particular policy was the brainchild of the current Labour leader, Keir Starmer. I wonder why?

Here’s a more accurate analysis of that part of Labour’s defeat:

Nobody with an ounce of knowledge about politics in the last five years has been fooled by this self-serving pack of distortions from Starmer’s new New Labour elite. See the responses for yourself:

https://twitter.com/JCisAntisemitic/status/1273957714583044096

This Writer was even tempted to respond to some of the usual suspects who have trumpeted this travesty as though it were the Word of God:

But media Toryism of the last 10 years has created a generation of ignorance, with most of the public happy to be spoonfed lies rather than think for themselves about the Age of Hypocrisy into which they have voted themselves.

The hypocrisy is strong in this report. How sad that the same people who lapped up the “Corbyn is a racist/Corbyn is a traitor/Corbyn is the devil” bull will be happy to do the same with this.

Source: Labour: dysfunctional ‘toxic culture’ led to defeat, major report finds | Politics | The Guardian

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Lords send Johnson down to a fourth defeat over his Brexit bill

Lords: They’ve just shown up Boris Johnson for a fourth time.

The House of Lords has delivered yet another amendment to Boris Johnson’s Brexit bill.

They insisted that measures be introduced to allow unaccompanied child refugees to be reunited with their parents – in the UK.

Boris Johnson has claimed he’ll reverse all the Lords’ amendments – because he’s a blind, bigoted fool.

But charities including the British Red Cross and Safe Passage have urged him not to strike out this provision.

It will be interesting to see what he does.

This Site said yesterday that someone should monitor times when Peers defeat Johnson’s government, to demonstrate how wrong-headed his ideas are.

Well, this is a great example of such a thing.

And if he really does reverse it, we’ll have even more evidence to throw against him.

Source: Brexit: Boris Johnson suffers new Lords defeat over bid to scrap protections for child refugees | The Independent

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Lords defeat the government in three votes on Brexit

The House of Lords: Peers can’t stop the Tories from wreaking injustices on the nation – but they can highlight them.

The Tories have lost three votes on their Brexit plans – in the House of Lords.

Peers passed an amendment giving EU citizens in the UK the automatic right to stay, rather than having to apply to the Home Office, and to ensure they can get physical proof of their rights.

They voted to remove ministers’ power to pick and choose which EU Court of Justice rulings should be honoured by UK courts and tribunals.

And they removed proposals for the courts to ignore EU case law after Brexit.

It means nothing in the short term – the Tories will simply reverse the moves when the legislation returns to the Commons.

But it highlights injustices that the Tories wished to enshrine in UK law.

Let’s hope someone is keeping a record of them.

And that enough democracy is left to hold the Tories to account, at some point in the future.

Source: Brexit: Government loses first parliamentary votes since election – BBC News

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Bad day for the Brexit deal as Theresa May loses another vote

Theresa May: This is the only “facepalm” shot of her that I have, so I’ll keep using it wherever I think it is appropriate.

If the first of the five Brexit deal debates is any yardstick, the Tories are screwed seven ways from Saturday.

Not only did they become the first British government ever to be found guilty of contempt of Parliament, but they lost the right to dictate the Brexit process in a major rebellion by Tory MPs.

Previously, if MPs voted down Mrs May’s deal, the government would have 21 days to return to the Commons, and declare what it planned to do next. MPs would be confined to taking note of the new plan.

Now – by a vote of 321 to 299 against – if MPs vote down the deal, the government would still have 21 days to set out a new plan, but MPs would be able to vote on that, too.

It shifts the balance of power back where it belongs – with Parliament having superiority over the government.

This fact was proved in the “contempt of Parliament” debate; the government was right to lose because it had tried to overrule the will of Parliament and Parliament is sovereign.

In practical terms, this means Mrs May’s deal is even more certain to land at the bottom of the circular file, leaving MPs clear to push for a “Plan B” alternative that will also end the likelihood of a “no-deal” Brexit.

And that’s only the result of day one.

Who knows what the rest of the week will bring?

It seems those who claimed Mrs May might withdraw her entire plan before the weekend may prove correct after all.

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Tory MP endorses violence to defeat enemies. He means HIS enemies, not ours

Oppressor: It seems Johnny Mercer wants young people to join our armed forces so a Tory government can order them to brutalise others in the name of far-right-wing political dogma.

What kind of twisted mind does Plymouth’s Tory MP, Johnny Mercer possess?

He has started a huge debate with a claim that there is nothing wrong with killing to defeat the enemies of a nation.

Perhaps it hasn’t occurred to him that, to many of us, he is an enemy of the United Kingdom.

By his own reckoning, would I not be well within my rights to gather a few dozen like-minded people, track him down and beat him brutally with baseball bats wrapped in barbed wire (for example)?

No, of course I wouldn’t. He doesn’t mean it like that.

We’re told he made his comment in a tweet encouraging young people to join the army. It stated: “The application of violence to defeat the enemies of the nation has become worryingly unpopular. Nothing wrong with fighting (yes killing) for values/what you believe in. The oppressed/bullied/tormented/voiceless deserve it. Join the fight; best thing you’ll ever do.”

So he wasn’t discussing “the application of violence” for “values you believe in”. He meant he wants young people to enlist in order to apply violence in the name of values he believes in.

And what about the line that “the oppressed/bullied/tormented/voiceless deserve it”? If you think he means they deserve protection, think again!

Mr Mercer means the oppressed/bullied/tormented/voiceless deserve to be oppressed/bullied/tormented/voiceless.

If you don’t believe me, just look at Conservative policies regarding sick and disabled benefit claimants since 2010.

It’s a philosophy you can see espoused in the movie (and, I suppose, novel) Starship Troopers. Author Robert A Heinlein had imagined a future civilisation in which far-right politics had conquered the world and in one scene, a character states that violence is “the supreme authority from which all other authority is derived… Naked force has resolved more issues throughout history than any other factor. The contrary opinion, that violence never solves anything, is wishful thinking at its worst. People who forget that always pay.”

This is what Johnny Mercer believes – but notice that he doesn’t want to put himself at risk in the application of that “naked force”. He wants the plebs to do that for him.

Note that he served in the Army as an officer, not in the ranks.

Officers are the people who decide how troops should be deployed, and send them out – often to their deaths. But they don’t often put their own lives on the line, and I wonder how often they expect to be asked to take the lives of others, as Mr Mercer is clearly asking others to do in his tweet.

My point is that it is easy to sign orders for other people to die, and to expect other people to carry out those orders. But it is less easy to actually do it oneself.

So what does Mr Mercer’s tweet actually mean? As indicated, this has been the subject of heated debate.

An article in The Independent has published several responses which make good points, as follows:

“Noelle Moysi said: “Is this really what you mean? You’re an MP and words matter. Jo Cox was killed by someone fighting for what they believed in. Jo Cox’s murderer saw her as an enemy of the nation and shouted the words Britain first as he did it.”

“Helen Troup‏ said Mr Mercer’s remarks were “exactly the justification used by the IRA of course”.

“Lavendar Luke said: “I believe synth music is better than guitar music. Yet when I kill and fight for my beliefs I’m ‘a psychopath’ apparently. Thanks for standing up for me Johnny.””

My own suggestion about the meaning of the tweet would be this:

It means he wants he wants the young people of the United Kingdom to put themselves at risk of death in order to subject the oppressed/bullied/tormented/voiceless to the worst far-right-wing domination possible, while he and his fellow Tories sit back and call the shots.

No thanks. If he wants to go around bullying other people – at home or abroad – he can damn well try it on his own and see how far his “values” get him then.

These Tories always talk big when the odds are stacked in their favour and it’s your life on the line.

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