With hindsight (and what a wonderful thing it is), it’s clear that Labour needs to offer something markedly different from the Tories and other right-wingers, and the current party leaders simply don’t have it in them.

It seems clear from the remarks of the current leadership candidates that they don’t have a single original idea between them and lack the brains or backbone to make a difference.

It’s a shame, because all they need to do is return to core Labour values and stand up for their core constituency – ordinary people who want a better life – rather than pandering to people who are already rich and are perfectly happy with the Tories.

Perhaps the problem is that, with their massive salaries and extra-curricular interests (landlord Chris Leslie, anybody?) they simply don’t have any connection with the people they are supposed to represent?

Labour will need to gain at least 106 seats in 2020 to secure a majority, after taking account of the forthcoming boundary changes, according to a thinktank analysis of the consequences of the party’s election defeat.

The Fabian Society concluded that Labour would require an electoral swing in marginal seats of 9.5 percentage points, more than twice the 4.6 points that the party needed for victory in 2015.

Labour’s leadership contenders are likely to examine the analysis closely, especially the emphasis on the need for the party to win over Tory voters, something Labour regarded as less important in the 2010-15 parliament due to the disillusionment with the Liberal Democrats.

The Fabians acknowledge that the chances of the next Labour leader securing an overall majority in 2020 look very small.

Source: Election swing Labour needs for majority has doubled, study finds | Politics | The Guardian