Is this the reason the Tory lead in this opinion poll has been halved?

160812 Voting intention

YouGov reckons the ‘bounce’ that a new Prime Minister receives in the opinion polls during their ‘honeymoon period’ may be over – but its own polling suggests this isn’t true.

Theresa May retains an inflated perception of her abilities as prime minister – her poll rating remains the same as it has for the previous two weeks.

This suggests another reason for Labour’s rise in the opinion polls. What else has happened this week? Ah, yes:

Candidates from the Jeremy Corbyn-supporting Centre-Left Grassroots Alliance took all six available seats on Labour’s ruling National Executive Committee.

And the High Court overturned a ban on those who joined after January 12 from voting in the current leadership election unless they paid £25 extra – a decision that is seen as giving Mr Corbyn the advantage.

Feel free to disagree, but it seems that support for Labour is growing as UK citizens realise that the so-called ’empty suits’, who have been running Labour as an annexe of the Conservative Party for far too long, are in the decline.

The Conservative lead of 14 points last week has now halved to seven. What remains to be seen if the drop is just a blip, or if it stabilises at this level or shrinks further.

Whilst the voting intention figures might give some cheer to Labour supporters, things are not looking any better for Jeremy Corbyn personally. For the third week running, perceptions of who would make the best Prime Minister remain unchanged, with 52% of people opting for Theresa May and 18% for Corbyn.

Source: YouGov | Voting Intention: Is the Conservative bounce over?


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6 thoughts on “Is this the reason the Tory lead in this opinion poll has been halved?

  1. Ω

    Labour is “only” seven points behind in the polls? That’s still VERY bad. On the day of the last general election most polls were registering Labour as only being a point or two behind the Tories and look what happened: A Tory majoritarian government for the first time in eighteen years. If Labour had a hope in hell of winning the next general election the party should be miles ahead of the Tories NOW. How strange it seems to me that Labour supporters, particularly the ones who haven’t noticed Jeremy Corbyn’s feet of clay, are so blithely unconcerned about this state of affairs and so oblivious to the fact that Corbyn himself is the principle cause of this disastrous and tragic phenomenon.

    People outside of Corbyn’s circle of admirers don’t see him as a capable or competent enough individual to run the country. They hear see him strike attitudes and utter slogans and platitudes but not detailed and costed policies that are feasible and might do so good. The shame is that Corbyn’s failure will seal the fate of the needy, poor, homeless and the suffering to Conservative torment and injustice for years and years to come.

    This is the shame and pity of it and how history will remember it.

    1. Mike Sivier Post author

      Are you aware that Margaret Thatcher’s average poll rating as something like MINUS 56?
      She did okay in the elections!
      Polls are okay as guides but they won’t tell you what will happen in a general election that’s four years away – especially at a time when the main opposition party is undergoing major changes.
      Bear in mind also that election fraud may be responsible for the Tory majority. Police forces across England are still investigating.
      Corbyn’s policies are indeed costed. I wonder why you try to mislead readers into thinking otherwise.
      And if you want big attitudes and slogans with no substance behind them, Owen Smith is your man.

  2. Rusty

    YouGov run by a man who wanted to a tory mp and still a tory supporter! I wouldn’t listen to ant thing they’re got to say!

  3. Jessie

    It has also been noticable how the Green Party, doing politics differently, keeps being obscured in ‘Other’; while the UKIP party, no bigger, has constantly been promoted by the right-wing media. Not accidental, we can be sure. While it will gain little attention, the Green Party are peacefully getting on with electing a new party leader, by all members; and through PR, and without all of the nasty back stabbing. It can be done.

    Any party or leader that challenges the usual nasty establishment way of doing things will have it misrepresented or ignored. So that it’s vilification and obscurification for all those promoting the concept of a fairer society, and lots of prominent publicity for those who want to continue in cruelification, creating more social division through undermining those with less power over their situation to serve those with that much less of a conscience.

    However, as the cruelty spreads further through our communities, inceasingly affecting those who never expected to experience it, the Tory lies lose their allure.

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