160812 Voting intention

YouGov reckons the ‘bounce’ that a new Prime Minister receives in the opinion polls during their ‘honeymoon period’ may be over – but its own polling suggests this isn’t true.

Theresa May retains an inflated perception of her abilities as prime minister – her poll rating remains the same as it has for the previous two weeks.

This suggests another reason for Labour’s rise in the opinion polls. What else has happened this week? Ah, yes:

Candidates from the Jeremy Corbyn-supporting Centre-Left Grassroots Alliance took all six available seats on Labour’s ruling National Executive Committee.

And the High Court overturned a ban on those who joined after January 12 from voting in the current leadership election unless they paid £25 extra – a decision that is seen as giving Mr Corbyn the advantage.

Feel free to disagree, but it seems that support for Labour is growing as UK citizens realise that the so-called ’empty suits’, who have been running Labour as an annexe of the Conservative Party for far too long, are in the decline.

The Conservative lead of 14 points last week has now halved to seven. What remains to be seen if the drop is just a blip, or if it stabilises at this level or shrinks further.

Whilst the voting intention figures might give some cheer to Labour supporters, things are not looking any better for Jeremy Corbyn personally. For the third week running, perceptions of who would make the best Prime Minister remain unchanged, with 52% of people opting for Theresa May and 18% for Corbyn.

Source: YouGov | Voting Intention: Is the Conservative bounce over?


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