Is Theresa May’s ‘Chequers’ plan a red herring to trick the EU out of seeing what she’s REALLY doing?
I’ve just been sent the following, on Twitter. It’s a possible explanation of Theresa May’s Brexit negotiation strategy that – if true – indicates a betrayal of faith with the EU27 negotiators, and an outright betrayal of the British people.
What do you think about this?
This is a sanitised briefing. It is rated as “high level of confidence” and supported by OSINT, meaning it comes from multiple, reliable sources and is supported by open source information.
Numerous sources have confirmed the British government is deliberately aiming for a no deal Brexit outcome in order to take advantage of extended powers available to them under the scenario – including civil contingencies and so-called Henry VIII.
The Chequers plan is a ploy designed to engage the EU in distraction from the desired British outcome and create a false narrative at home in the UK that the EU are responsible.
Sources claim emergency legislation is being prepared for January next year (2019) when the Withdrawal Act no deal deadlines pass – this would be 29/01 and the civil contingencies secretariat have been convened as per leaked Hammond notes recently, adding credibility.
On Ireland: The British government hopes the EU will be forced to move first and install a hard border in Ireland in order to avoid blame itself for a situation it has created. Further sources claim the data harvested during Repeal 8th will be used in some “unity” campaigns.
The British government has progressed trade talks with the US to the point of potential emergency supply, moving substantially beyond informal discussions – though the Trump administration should not be taken at its word, a degree of reliance on this has been factored in UK side.
The government intends to create a tax haven on the EU’s doorstep to exploit financial service deregulation. This speaks for itself.
The British government aims to prevent France and other EU countries from properly preparing for no deal by continuing to falsely engage in the negotiations in bad faith, keeping the EU27 from moving from early stage plans to contingency measures as long as possible.
The British government hopes this will create a ripple effect of impact so it can later pursue a “Europe in chaos” narrative of disinformation and exploit the situation. In short hoping to spread the load of no deal impact, particularly into France due to geographical impact.
The British government hopes this collateral damage will add to planned disruption around the EU election processes next spring and they will use dissident relationships to further this – likely to include Orban.
The British are aware that contingency planning in France has not yet reached operational unit level even in the GIGN because the general French presumption is that the British government is genuinely engaged in good faith, which they are not.
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Thanks for this. We’ve long thought that the Tories and their backers have got in mind a “Shock Doctrine” (Naomi Klein) right-wing coup. What can we do about it? Spreading the word does not seem to work very well, people do not want to listen!
If this is true and l believe it may well be ,(classic neoliberal tactics ,as described in ‘The ShockDoctrine’ cause chaos then take over )what is Labour and the rest of the opposition parties doing about it .No one it seems is concerned about the undermining of our democracy by Vote Leave so I fear this situation will be allowed to go unchallenged.
i’ts how ‘they’ have always ruled
I have endeavoured to make the point many times, that the Tories are working to an agenda, that being to maintain the interests of the 1% through a Neo-Liberal trade deal with Trump. This whole charade started by not even presenting the EU with a British position on anything, she did not even turn up with a piece of paper in front of her. Then there was the whole media circus about how clever Theresa May was because she was playing her cards close to her chest.
The Tories have been playing games ever since, and the media have been playing the public like a violin.
The Labour Party can’t do anything as they are not at the negotiating table, the other small matter about what the public itself knows regarding the EU is also abysmal, I personally doubt that anyone has the faintest idea about the real state of the EU, but just believe what they are told.
My take on the EU is put simply, this is a war, between Neo-Liberal Tories that want to do a deal with Trump, that has already been stitched up pending the EU breakdown in talks, and the Neo-Liberal Libdems whose single policy is to stay in the Neo-Liberal EU.
For those that think staying in the EU is to Britain’s benefit, perhaps they could explain this graph to me, because I really can’t see any advantage here:
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Intra-EU_trade_in_goods_-_recent_trends#Intra-EU_trade_in_goods_by_Member_State
What most seem oblivious to is that there is a left wing exit that will do all it can to do a genuine exit deal, that doesn’t, or limits harm to both sides. That is if the EU will in fact agree to a sensible deal. Allowing trade to carry on as we have been whilst reclaiming our sovereignty that stops us providing the public services and essential government intervention. EU regulations have recently agreed:
The new Directive
Key provisions in the new Directive include:
New regime for health service contracts
This replaces the distinction between Part A and Part B services in the previous Directive. Taking into account the limited cross-border interest for contracts for clinical services (as well as for social, education and other few categories of services) a light touch regime is maintained for the procurement of services in these sectors. This regime is based on a higher threshold, set at EUR750,000; health service contracts below this value are considered to have no cross-border interest and as such will not be covered by the Directive.
For health service contracts of a value equal to or above EUR750,000 the following will be required:
Ex-ante advertisement in OJEU (using contract notices or prior information notices) as well as publication of ex-post award notices
Compliance with national rules ensuring that the key EU principles of anti-discrimination and equality are respected
Award criteria can be based on principles other than price. In particular, quality, continuity, accessibility, comprehensiveness of services and innovation can be taken into account.
What this embodies in regulation is that all services will be put out to tender and the only way to change that will be to leave the EU.
The Eu has only had the plan of us voting again, in line with historical referenda that haven’t gone its way, or to try to screw what it can out of us before we leave, after 45 years of plucking the magic duck.
Until last month it hadn’t even discussed what it wants having gratuitously thrown Ireland into the mix, so the idea it has any clue what to do once the worlds 5th largest economy and second largest contributer leaves without a deal hadn’t crossed their minds, they expect to have their cake and eat it.
Well tough they chose Barmier an anti British man with no experience in negotiating and less negotiating skills than the average cockroach so they deserve the undoubtedly negative outcome they are about to get.
Chilling but highly credible.
Neoliberal agenda, order from chaos, first create the chaos.
It’s from JJ Patrick. There are no links to sources. He’s posted inflammatory and unsubstantiated material elsewhere. I’m not sure I would give it much credence and I am sorry Voxpolitical, which is usually reliable, does so
Oh hey, I just posted it up because it chimes with my own thoughts on the subject (and those of many others, it seems). I wanted opinions on it and yours is as valid as anybody’s (apart from your personal comments about This Site, of course).
“Your opinion is valid as long as it’s not critical of me”
That’s right. You play the ball, not the other player (or in this case, the referee). If you can’t do that, your comments get banned.
JJ Patrick is a credible source and one who is highly respected. As someone who works within legal groups and action James is on many an email group and we value his input . He was commended by the country for being a whistleblower and quite rightly so. His Twitter handle – J_amesp
Yes for some this seems like an umlikely senario – due dillegence guys. It may be a leap but so is Brexit.
A group of very greedy people waiting in the wings to make lots of money out of the ensuing chaos…..
i wouldn’t trust her one bit she has proven how deceptive she is many times… her Brexit means for the rich only that will benefit from tax havens and not for the poor!!!.
I suspect the plan is like this: hard Brexit – food/fuel/medicine shortage – civil unrest – martial law – suspension of democracy – arrest of “traitors” – a government of “National Unity” – more unrest – O USA come to our aid, send troops and food, take our NHS – let us be an overseas territory like Puerto Rico – only then will we have truly “taken back control”…
I said that 2 years ago. Nobody believed me. I hope I’m wrong.
This had been obvious ever since Cameron failed to gain a ‘get out of jail free’ card from EU, and immediately set the wheels in motion for a referendum! AIQ. et al were already in government pay, and planning the methodology for the the great manipulation had already been done in USA –
These, and other “benefits” will accrue to the Establishment following a “no-deal” Brexit. The scenario is entirely credible.
It’s basically what I have presumed they are doing, and conforms to their domestic tactics. Screw everyone for personal gain, and blame everyone else for the chaos, then assume more rights to take the ‘necessary’ control. Here ends any pretence of democracy.
All of the disasters mentioned in this piece and the comments are indeed worrying, but outside the EU could be over-turned at the stroke of a parliamentary pen. The UK’s tax-haven status could be closed down overnight with the imposition of simple capital controls – inside the EU with the FoM of Capital, all it’s captured institutions and far-too-weak & dispersed democratic control structures that is never going to happen.
In any case, this country is just as likely to enjoy a period of disaster socialism as it is to become (even more of a) neoliberal banana republic. Any rushed privatisations and deregulations could be overturned without any compensation by any subsequent, interventionist,Labour government – as could any existing PFI for that matter – that’s what they really fear of a no-deal Brexit – that’s why they’re keeping so quiet about the ‘no-regression’ clauses of the Chequers deal.
See this for instance:
https://www.thefullbrexit.com/single-post/2018/07/30/The-real-fear-is-state-subsidies-under-a-Jeremy-Corbyn-government
Contrary to Patricks assertions, the French plans are alreaddy well underway – and even over there, the beneficiary of any ‘chaos’ is more likely to be the very nicely leftist Melechon than it is Le Penn or the appalling Macron.
As a completely unrepentant Lexiter, it’s all the comments from your apparently defeatest readers that I find most worrying. We’ve a once in a lifetime opportunity here to finally rid ourselves of decades of neoliberal claptrap and it looks like we could bottle it cos we’re all afraid of a load of swivel-eyed Tory dunderheads who have started to believe their own hype.