As Theresa May trumpets ‘record low’ unemployment, we find it stands at FOUR TIMES her official figure
Here’s another lie from Theresa May:
Employment at a record high.
Joint-record low unemployment rate.
Wages rising at their fastest pace in a decade.We're backing businesses and creating jobs so that more people than ever have the security of a regular wage. pic.twitter.com/AMdL0EOTuP
— Theresa May (@theresa_may) January 22, 2019
It’s the official figure – but it is also fake news in its claims about unemployment and wages.
The simple fact is that the official figure fails to take into account several important elements. For example:
You forgot to mention your “record high” employment figures inc people working just ONE HOUR A WEEK & UNPAID FAMILY WORK!” Zero hours contracts & poverty wages have left millions of working families destitute & the past decade has seen the worst wage growth since napoleonic war https://t.co/kPiKqHLS9r
— Peter Stefanovic (@PeterStefanovi2) January 23, 2019
And if unemployment is so low, why is in-work poverty so rampant?
Well, you would think the job market is in excellent shape despite people in work being unable to afford to feed their families if you still had your job when you’re the most incompetent person to do it in history. https://t.co/JrQ96iO37F
— David Schneider (@davidschneider) January 23, 2019
The answer is that the actual number of people who are unemployed is four times the official figure – nearly nine million people. The number who are actively looking for work is between three and four times the official figure, for the following reasons:
The website Business Insider provides the supporting evidence.
In a nutshell, it argues that if unemployment was so low, and employment so high, then wages would be much better: “When unemployment gets that low it generally means that anyone who wants a job can have one. It also suggests that wages will start to rise. It becomes more difficult for crappy employers to keep their workers when those workers know they can move to nicer jobs. And workers can demand more money from a new employer when they move, or demand more money from their current employer for not moving.”
But that isn’t happening. “Wages in the private sector have not started to rise. Public-sector wage rises are capped at 1%. There has been a little uptick in new-hire rates, but the overall trend is flat. This is part of the proof that shows real unemployment can’t be just 4.5%… Workers’ real incomes are actually in decline.”
This must mean that employers are still able to get people who are willing to work for rock-bottom rates, and the only way that is possible is if there are more people looking for work than jobs available.
And this means that the methodology used to work out the number of people available for work is a fiction.
Business Insider again: “For decades, economists have agreed on an artificial definition of what unemployment means. Their argument is that people who are taking time off, or have given up looking for work, or work at home to look after their family, don’t count as part of the workforce. In the UK and the US, technical “full employment” has, as a rule of thumb, historically been placed at an unemployment rate of 5% to 6%.”
You’ll notice that the Conservative government in the UK has decided that people doing unpaid family work – carers – now do count as part of the workforce, even though they are paid nothing by employers. The full list of people the Tories count as employed is here, under heading 3.
And “full employment” includes anybody who works for an hour or more per week and gets paid for it. That’s not full employment; that’s under-employment.
So we see a fiction in which unemployment figures don’t include part-time workers who want full-time jobs, “inactive” workers alienated from the workforce, people who retire, students, or those who work in the home. Once you wrap all those people in, the number of jobless people is actually 21.5 per cent of the workforce, or around 8.83 million people, according to the Office for National Statistics.
Not all the inactive people actually want work – but there are plenty who do. Add them to the official figure and you get a “real-world” unemployment rate of around 14 per cent – three times the official rate. And we should also include as jobseekers the number of people who are under-employed – working part-time hours that aren’t enough for them. That gets us to between three and four times the official rate.
That’s why wages haven’t risen – because employers have access to a large number of people who are desperate for work.
And that is why Theresa May’s unemployment figure is a lie.
As for wages – take out inflation and this is what they’re doing:
The darker line signifies real wages – and they have plummeted. Note that historically wages have run roughly in line with unemployment – until 2016, when the Tories started making their big claims about falling unemployment. That’s the moment when it started to become possible to show up these claims as lies.
So:
- Employment might be at 75+ per cent but this includes under-employment, with some people working as little as one hour per week.
- Real-terms unemployment stands at more than three times the official rate, at more than 14 per cent.
- And wages are not rising at their fastest pace in a decade. They have plummeted, creating a poverty crisis that the Tories have no intention of addressing; they will simply continue lying about it.
Those are the facts. Or perhaps you prefer this answer to the issue:
As UK employment hits record high, experts say the figures are mostly due to the number of people being appointed Brexit Secretary.
— Have I Got News For You (@haveigotnews) January 22, 2019
Visit our JustGiving page to help Vox Political’s Mike Sivier fight anti-Semitism libels in court
Vox Political needs your help!
If you want to support this site
(but don’t want to give your money to advertisers)
you can make a one-off donation here:
Here are four ways to be sure you’re among the first to know what’s going on.
1) Register with us by clicking on ‘Subscribe’ (in the left margin). You can then receive notifications of every new article that is posted here.
2) Follow VP on Twitter @VoxPolitical
3) Like the Facebook page at https://www.facebook.com/VoxPolitical/
Join the Vox Political Facebook page.
4) You could even make Vox Political your homepage at http://voxpoliticalonline.com
And do share with your family and friends – so they don’t miss out!
If you have appreciated this article, don’t forget to share it using the buttons at the bottom of this page. Politics is about everybody – so let’s try to get everybody involved!
Buy Vox Political books so we can continue
fighting for the facts.
The Livingstone Presumption is now available
in either print or eBook format here:
Health Warning: Government! is now available
in either print or eBook format here:
The first collection, Strong Words and Hard Times,
is still available in either print or eBook format here:
As soon as they open their mouths you know that May and her cronies are going to tell lies.
And, as we have seen on Greg Wallace’s The Factory on TV, more and more factories are being opened with total automation, meaning hundreds of jobs are being eliminated. However, prices of commodities produced without having to pay staff are actually rising. Remember though, we were once the country that marketed slavery throughout thr world, after rounding people up from Africa and transporting and selling them in the “New World!” This mentality still exists in the minds of our industrial liars _ or, I mean leaders!
Perhaps in Questions to the Prime Minister, Jeremy Corbyn should ask Mrs May what the total number of filled whole time equivalent jobs in the country is.
As an indication of what a standard full time equivalent job’s weekly hours would be, take the number of hours a person on the minimum or the living hourly rate wage would have to work to survive the week. The Government must have that number readily to hand.
That’s a very good challenge.
she’s definitely a serial liar. . . (is this a new saying)
and I’ve always said to be a good liar one needs to have a good memory
If a job is so poorly paid or so insecure that you cannot get a mortgage with it then it isn’t really a job. It’s just work.