Labour opens up two-digit lead over the Conservatives in voting intention polls
The Labour Party led by Jeremy Corbyn has opened up a huge lead over the Conservative government in voter-intention polls.
This is in spite of attempts to smear Mr Corbyn with false allegations of anti-Semitism.
It also runs against claims that Labour’s policy on Brexit is hampering the party’s electability.
https://twitter.com/ToryFibs/status/1115989317598482432
In fact, there seem to be several:
Kantar poll sees LAB in the lead
CON 32% -9
LAB 35% +4
LD 11% +3
UKIP 7% +1
GRN 4% -2— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 10, 2019
EU Parliament Voting Intention:
LAB: 38% (+13)
CON: 23% (-1)
BXP: 10% (+10)
LDM: 8% (+1)
UKIP: 8% (-19)
CHUK: 4% (+4)
SNP: 4% (+2)
GRN: 4% (-4)Via @HanburyStrategy, 5-8 Apr.
Changes w/ 2014— Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK) April 10, 2019
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 40%
CON: 31%
LDM: 8%
UKIP: 8%
GRN: 5%Via @HanburyStrategy, 5-8 Apr.
— Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK) April 10, 2019
The poll that offers options for a larger number of parties is the one that gives Labour a 13-point lead, and this suggests that the rise of Change UK (or The Independent Group) has harmed the Conservatives more than Labour.
It seems unlikely that the new organisation/party will be able to field candidates in all constituencies if an election is called soon, so it is perhaps unwise to assume the gulf between the two main parties will be as wide in practice.
And many people would say polls like these are designed to influence voters, rather than reflect their plans.
Still, these results may shut up the centrists who have been making noises about Labour’s lack of ability to open up a large lead despite current Tory weakness.
And it probably means mainstream media pundits will stop talking about the polls for a while (remember, they only refer to polls in order to claim the Conservatives are in the lead; think about the “gaslighting” scandal involving Diane Abbott on the BBC’s Question Time).
It is unlikely to stop certain malcontents from fabricating claims of anti-Semitism against Mr Corbyn and the Labour Party because it is impossible to draw any conclusions about this aspect of the current political debate; people could be attracted to Labour as much because of accusations of anti-Semitism as in denial of them. It’s an unpleasant thought but, as another part of current discourse has it, Brexit has encouraged a revival of racism in certain members of the electorate.
Personally, I think this is more accurate:
Whenever a voter says to me, I would vote Labour if it wasn't for Corbyn, I always say, twice as many ppl vote Labour BECAUSE of Corbyn & his policies. That's why our vote went up in #GE2017. You can see the cogs turning then when they realise Corbyn might actually be an asset!
— Chelley Ryan #EnoughIsEnough (@chelleryn99) April 10, 2019
In related news:
The average age of a Conservative party voter has risen to 58.
— Peter (@MePeterNicholls) April 10, 2019
and
https://twitter.com/rosskempsell/status/1115155616308264960
Some are saying that Labour has only to wait and the Conservatives will become extinct by themselves, but this is nonsense; they have been in power for nine years and that has allowed enough younger people to see what Tory policies do.
It will take a sustained period in power – and acting for the good of the population at large – for Labour to finally end the electability of the privileged class.
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I don’t think “real” anti-semites would ever be attracted to Labour because of the smears. They know perfectly well where Labour stands on this, and other, issues. If they hate Jews then there is a good chance that there is prejudice against other distinct groups as well, against Muslims,black people, gay people, women etc. To use an American expression about Trump supporters, “haters gonna hate”. Anti-semites aren’t choosy about the people they hate. They just have to be different.
Prepare for an onslaught of attempts to disparage Jeremy Corbyn by the right wing media.