Bang goes the Good Friday Agreement as paramilitary groups accuse Johnson of betraying peace
Paramilitary groups in Northern Ireland have withdrawn support for the Good Friday Agreement due to Brexit – and they aren’t nationalists but unionists.
The Loyalist Communities Council, a group representing the views of the UVF, UDA and Red Hand Commando, are protesting at Boris Johnson’s Irish Sea trade border between Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK.
The group has written to Johnson and Ireland’s taoiseach, Micheál Martin, warning of “permanent destruction” of the 1998 peace agreement without changes to post-Brexit arrangements for Northern Ireland.
The letter said unionist opposition to the Northern Ireland protocol – the part of the Brexit deal that keeps Northern Ireland a part of the EU’s single market for goods – should remain “peaceful and democratic”.
But this is a decision to withdraw support for a peace deal that underpins power-sharing in Northern Ireland. If a solution is not found quickly, peace in the province could be lost – again.
And it would be Boris Johnson’s fault.
In fact, the Brexit deal seems to be unravelling fast for Johnson. The European Union has refused to ratify it for a second time after Brussels accused the UK of violating it.
The decision came after Johnson’s ministers said they would unilaterally change parts of the agreement to give businesses in Northern Ireland time to adapt to new trade rules.
Johnson is unsafe wherever he goes now.
If he decides to change the Brexit deal again, to preserve the Good Friday Agreement, his dream of free trade with the EU (which turned out to be a nightmare in any case) will be over forever.
But if he doesn’t, he risks re-igniting the Troubles – as violence by nationalists and unionists in Northern Ireland between 1969 and 1998 was known.
Loyalist paramilitary groups endorsed the Good Friday agreement and say they have no desire to reignite the Troubles.
But the LCC said the Northern Ireland protocol had breached safeguards in the Good Friday agreement to protect the status of the province and the rest of the UK.
You take 12 hours off Twitter and you open it to see that Northern Ireland loyalist groups have renounced the Good Friday Agreement.
You happy Brexiteers?
Do you care Brexiteers?
Will you care Brexiteers?
Didn’t think so.
— Dr. Jennifer Cassidy (@OxfordDiplomat) March 4, 2021
So Johnson has put himself in the worst of all possible worlds. And he only has himself to blame.
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I kept warning Brexiteers about this three years ago, and longer, I warned that it could even trigger a new war, because of the incompatibility of Hard Brexit with the GFA. And they always laughed, and mocked, and accused me of ‘scaremongering’.
I guess we’ll know for sure whether I was ‘scaremongering’ in the next few months.