Vox Political predicts the results of the Tory leadership election
Tory twisters: it seems to This Writer that they are now trying to cheat their own party membership out of electing the candidate they want.
It seems the plan at the moment is to hold a hustings on Monday, with three candidates participating. These characters must have managed to accumulate at least 100 nominations from among Conservative MPs. That’s a five-fold increase from the 20 they had to get in the summer leadership campaign.
Of these, two will be presented to the wider membership of the Conservative Party – if two remain in the race. Remember when Theresa May became leader? The other candidate dropped out and she had a coronation instead of an election.
Boris Johnson seems unlikely to get onto the ballot paper – despite a large campaign for him among Tory members and supporters. He’s unlikely to get the 100 votes he would need. And besides, there’s an investigation hanging over his head that may possibly see him ejected from Parliament altogether.
How ridiculous would the government look if their new leader was subsequently expelled for prior misdemeanours?
As Professor Tim Wilson suggests (below), it is likely that party chairman Jake Berry and 1922 Committee chairman Graham Brady are hoping the Parliamentary party will coalesce behind a single candidate, thereby depriving party members of the opportunity to select another clunker like Liz Truss. Watch:
This theory – that a single candidate should be chosen – seems corroborated in this Sky News item:
Who does This Writer think will be crowned next week?
Rishi Sunak.
Other commentators have already commented on his silence throughout the disasters of Liz Truss’s leadership – suggesting that someone in a grey suit may have had a word with him, to sit tight and stay quiet, and he’ll get something nice further down the line.
Also, he was the runner-up in the last leadership race, so some of the Tory grandees might think it’s only fair. And he’s continuity Johnson…
Is he the right man for the job? Absolutely not.
The UK needs a general election – that much is abundantly clear. Confidence in the Tories has nose-dived; they have binned the manifesto on which they won the 2019 election and therefore they have no mandate to continue.
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