Hundreds have signed up to help unseat Keir Starmer
Hundreds have signed up to help unseat Keir Starmer as part of Andrew Feinstein’s insurgent campaign.
Bookies have slashed the odds on him winning – and Labour’s campaign numbers are failing to impress, according to Mr Feinstein’s team.
His campaign to replace Keir Starmer as the MP for Holborn & St Pancras has been boosted by an extraordinary flood of volunteers and campaigners – in numbers that appear to exceed the local Labour Party.
Mr Feinstein (pictured; image by Phil Davison) is an independent candidate for Holborn & St Pancras, running on a platform challenging austerity, forever wars, the housing crisis, the underfunding of vital public services and the government’s inaction on the genocide in Gaza.
Campaigners for Mr Feinstein have confirmed that, as of June 18, more than 740 volunteers have signed up to assist his campaign via the official campaign website, www.andrewfeinstein.org
Volunteers have committed to canvassing, door-knocking, leafleting, flyering and phone-banking.
The campaign’s digital organising hub on WhatsApp is well-subscribed, with the community numbering more than 200 members.
The Labour Party’s comparable WhatsApp canvassing platform for Holborn & St Pancras currently has only slightly more than 150 members.
The flood of volunteers raises the real possibility that Holborn & St Pancras might see volunteers for Andrew Feinstein outnumber Labour canvassers on the streets and doorsteps on polling day.
Slashed Odds
Bookmakers have slashed odds on Mr Feinstein’s campaign to replace Starmer.
Previously, he was quoted at 50/1 by SkyBet after the general election was called.
But as of June 1, he is being quoted at 28/1 by Bet365 and at 33/1 by SkyBet and Ladbrokes.[1] Starmer’s odds to win are quoted at 1/250 by Bet365, SkyBet, William Hill and others, while Unibet, BetMGM and BetUK are now quoting odds of 1/100 for Starmer.
Analysis by the site www.oddschecker.com puts Andrew Feinstein at the top of its list of ‘most popular bets’ in the constituency.
The Green Party, Conservatives, Liberal Democrats and Reform are all quoted at between 200/1 and 250/1 – showing that Mr Feinstein is the challenger most likely seen to give Starmer a run for his money.
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bookies odds mean nowt, mike.
it’d only take as little as a £50 bet on Andrew to shorten the odds again.
That said, it’s worth a punt, but for the people of Holborn, Feinstein’s well worth your vote 👍😉
I’m not sure they do mean nowt – I mean, if someone is confident enough to put money on a candidate, they must have a reason, right?
And I’m glad you agree that Andrew Feinstein is worth supporting.
Mike, if there are five horses in a race, the odds of each horse winning SHOULD be 4/1 yes?
Ok.
Now, people know that races don’t work quite like that, and nor do betting odds.
let’s say one man puts £10 on Andrew Feinstein at 28/1.
The bookies will take a hit of £28k so will shorten to (let’s say) 20/1.
BUT 10 people, each putting on £1k at the same odds would shorten Feinstein odds further because while the hit to the bookies might be the same, the bookies aren’t aware of how peoples opinions and will no doubt translate that betting shop popularity as voting intent..
after say the first 5 had our their £1k bets on, the next five wouldn’t get 28/1 because of that – even if the bookie’s liability would be the same if they took all 10 £1k bets at that price.
And it takes far less money to move a horse from 33/1 to 20s than it does to move one from 3/1 to 2/1.
And lets not forget, the bookies had smarmerite labour to take Dr piffle Johnson’s vacated Uxbridge seat at 1/25 and they couldn’t even manage that (hahaha)
let’s hope
that eve. at 1/250 keef loses his seat in Holborn….Hopefully to Andrew Feinstein, 👍
So you’re saying that bookies take bets at particular levels but change the odds according to their own preferences. Those preferences might be shaped by polls, or by word of mouth – or by anything, yes?
And we know opinion polls are skewed by the demands of whoever commissioned them…
So basically, you’re saying we can’t trust any of these yardsticks and are in limbo as regards the election result.
Or so it seems to me!
sorry about the spelling but my phone keyboard’s tiny, and when the phone’s in portrait mode the dialogue box to type in is three characters narrow, for some reason.
If I turn my phone to rotate the screen I just get the keyboard so can’t see what I’m typing.
No worries – I have to correct a lot of comments because of text bizarreness.