Supporters of the Scottish alternative – the SNP – could be in for a shock after the general election, as it has been revealed that voters don’t want that party to be involved in any possible future Coalition with either Labour or the Conservatives.
According to leading poll firm YouGov*, less than one in three of Tory or Labour voters who expressed a preference (29 per cent) said they would support a deal between the party they supported and the SNP in order to form a government.
The same poll showed that this figure reduced to less than a quarter of all respondents (regardless of voting intention), who were asked whether they thought it would be “a good or bad thing” if the SNP was part of a Westminster coalition government after the next election. Only 24 per cent of those who expressed a preference thought it would be “a good thing”. The rest clearly thought SNP participation would be “bad”.
This is a blow to the credibility of the SNP, which has been campaigning partly on the basis that the current situation – with most Westminster seats held by Labour – had left Scotland without a voice in a Conservative-run UK, and hardly heard when Labour were in office.
(It’s an argument that could be fought simply by pointing out that Labour established the Scottish Parliament in Holyrood, without which the SNP is unlikely to have been able to gain the popularity it has today – but never mind that. If people aren’t willing to pay attention, they’re not going to.)
Now it seems clear that any party entering into a coalition with the SNP will only do so against the express wishes of the electorate, meaning a Scotland that votes SNP is likely to find itself even less relevant to the UK than before.
This is the clearest evidence of what the rest of the UK thinks about Scottish nationalists and their behaviour since the independence referendum last September.
For the SNP, the message is: You want to sabre-rattle for independence? Fine. Do it north of the border and keep your noses out of our business.
For Scotland as a whole: If you want to be part of UK politics, vote for somebody who wants to be part of the UK.
It seems that, for Scottish nationalism, British voters’ patience has run out.
*A vocal minority of commenters has recently called into question the validity of Vox Political‘s information. If they want to question this one, they should take it up with YouGov.
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