It isn’t over yet for Theresa May – but her time is nearly up
Theresa May [Image: Getty Images].
If another eight write to him, it will trigger a leadership election in the Conservative Party. Nobody else is strong enough to lead the Tories; they are divided and weak.
So it seems unlikely that any other Tory will gain the 159 votes needed to displace her.
This time.
Both Margaret Thatcher and John Major have seen off confidence votes, according to the New Statesman, quoted below. So can Theresa May – for now.
But Mr Brady hasn’t seen those 48 letters yet, and matters can change in politics, in a very short time.
If Mrs May goes, then it is possible that confidence in the Conservative Party will evaporate – the confidence-and-supply alliance with the DUP will evaporate and the Tories will cease to be able to form a government.
That would put Brexit in doubt, as any future government might have different priorities. With business confidence plumbing the depths, any new government might see a move away from Brexit as a “quick fix” to boost the economy and give the population the “feel good” factor that has been missing for so long.
Isn’t that interesting?
But it’s only speculation.
Mrs May will stay in office as long as she can, because she’s in politics for her own selfish interests.
She’ll do whatever she can to push everybody else down, keep herself in wealth and prosperity – and keep the Labour Party out of office.
But she’ll be able to do nothing if the opinion of her own party turns against her, and if the leader the Tories choose instead is a dead loss, then change is coming.
It seems clear the minority Conservative government won’t last a full Parliamentary term. In fact, it may not last another full year.
But then, we’ve heard those words before, haven’t we?
Opinion pages are full of critical articles [about Theresa May] and The Sun’s Harry Cole reports that the number of letters calling for a confidence vote is perilously close to the 48 needed to trigger one.
To call a vote of no confidence in a Conservative leader, you need 15 per cent of the parliamentary party (48 MPs) to send a letter calling for one to the chair of the party’s 1922 committee, Graham Brady. The number is said to have reached 40 and one backbencher tells the Sun that Brady is “ashen-faced” at the prospect of getting more.
Is it all over for Theresa May?
Source: Is it all over for Theresa May? Westminster sources say a Tory confidence vote is nearing
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Watching Theresa May’s government in action is like watching a car crash in slow motion.
Bring on the Tory civil war.
Cowardice in the Tory ranks will protect May, they will not rock the boat. They will look at their own cosy lives, bank balances, sinecure positions, which will evaporate once the Tories are not in government, and decide cowardice is in fact entirely honorable. They do not care on jot for the people of the country or the economic health too, as long as the gravy train still runs on time.
(May’s demise is a nice thought though.)
The only reason that May is still there is because there is no one able to take her place, some who might have the capacity are too new and inexperienced, as well as not being known in the country.
The Tories as much as they would claim otherwise know that they would be obliterated if the election were called soon, not only that but they don’t care anymore they think they have already won the battle and transferred all power into the corporate sector.
When the Tories say that we have to rely on jobs through the private sector, that is their golden achievement. There is no one else, until we get a new government in place that dedicates itself to rebuilding our public services and creates new industries.
The Tories have done the easy bit which was dismantling the state, now we have rebuild what they destroyed and the people of this country need to realise that will be a long term project.
The dismantling has been enabled by the government claiming that it was economically prudent, and imposed cuts in public provision, saying we have no money.
That of course is a complete lie, and we now have to elect a government that will spend money where it is needed, we have the money, all we need is the government that will do it.
The Tories always claimed economic competence, which of course flies in the face of all the evidence. The future will see shrinking raw materials and jobs being mechanised out of existence, market theology has no answers to that just as it has allowed the world economy to collapse. State intervention is not only necessary but has to be the imperative.