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Theresa May [Image: Getty Images].

It seems that 40 MPs have written to the chair of the Conservative 1922 committee, Graham Brady, 

If another eight write to him, it will trigger a leadership election in the Conservative Party. Nobody else is strong enough to lead the Tories; they are divided and weak.

So it seems unlikely that any other Tory will gain the 159 votes needed to displace her.

This time.

Both Margaret Thatcher and John Major have seen off confidence votes, according to the New Statesman, quoted below. So can Theresa May – for now.

But Mr Brady hasn’t seen those 48 letters yet, and matters can change in politics, in a very short time.

If Mrs May goes, then it is possible that confidence in the Conservative Party will evaporate – the confidence-and-supply alliance with the DUP will evaporate and the Tories will cease to be able to form a government.

That would put Brexit in doubt, as any future government might have different priorities. With business confidence plumbing the depths, any new government might see a move away from Brexit as a “quick fix” to boost the economy and give the population the “feel good” factor that has been missing for so long.

Isn’t that interesting?

But it’s only speculation.

Mrs May will stay in office as long as she can, because she’s in politics for her own selfish interests.

She’ll do whatever she can to push everybody else down, keep herself in wealth and prosperity – and keep the Labour Party out of office.

But she’ll be able to do nothing if the opinion of her own party turns against her, and if the leader the Tories choose instead is a dead loss, then change is coming.

It seems clear the minority Conservative government won’t last a full Parliamentary term. In fact, it may not last another full year.

But then, we’ve heard those words before, haven’t we?

Opinion pages are full of critical articles [about Theresa May] and The Sun’s Harry Cole reports that the number of letters calling for a confidence vote is perilously close to the 48 needed to trigger one.

To call a vote of no confidence in a Conservative leader, you need 15 per cent of the parliamentary party (48 MPs) to send a letter calling for one to the chair of the party’s 1922 committee, Graham Brady. The number is said to have reached 40 and one backbencher tells the Sun that Brady is “ashen-faced” at the prospect of getting more.

Is it all over for Theresa May?

Source: Is it all over for Theresa May? Westminster sources say a Tory confidence vote is nearing

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