Perhaps Boris Johnson should be congratulated – he has struck a Brexit deal with the European Union against all the odds.
But the Labour Party won’t support it.
The Liberal Democrats shouldn’t support it.
The Democratic Unionist Party has rejected it.
And in the European Parliament, the Brexit Party absolutely hates it. Nigel Farage says it will lead to years of negotiations for a free trade deal that won’t be agreed unless the UK gives up its fishing waters and accepts the EU’s regulatory system.
I don’t currently know what the European Research Group (ERG) – the ‘party within a party’ within the Conservative Party that wants a “no deal” Brexit – thinks.
No is it clear what the Independent MPs, from whom Mr Johnson removed the Conservative whip, have to say about it.
My personal opinion is that Parliament will vote it down.
If this happens on Saturday (October 19), Mr Johnson will be required to request another extension of the Brexit deadline.
Opposition MPs have been saying that this would give them the opportunity to call a vote of “no confidence” in the Tory government – because it will have failed to take the UK out of the EU on October 31, as promised.
A general election would follow.
But after an agreement is voted down, Mr Johnson would be in a much stronger position.
He would be able to say that Parliament has blocked Brexit – that other MPs prevented him from enacting the (sorry) “will of the people”, and could then call on the electorate to give him the Parliamentary majority he would need to force his deal on the country.
It would be a trick and a lie, but he could get away with it because most of the public is sick and tired of all the Brexit talk and the fact that the Tories have been using it to suppress discussion of practically any other political issue affecting us. Many people may vote for him, out of fatigue.
He has the media on his side, and he has an Opposition leader who has been painted as a danger to the British way of life by those news-hacks and by backstabbers in his own party (who are slowly leaving after doing their worst, Lousie Ellman being the latest).
So I wonder whether this deal is a ‘red herring’ – a distraction to divert attention away from his real goal, which may still be a “no deal” Brexit, after winning an election.
Perhaps Mr Corbyn should consider changing his tactics. Perhaps he’ll support a referendum on the new deal – to show public opposition to it. Is that his ‘Plan B’?
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