Boris Johnson’s plan for Covid-19 ignores one significant detail: reality

Boris Johnson has announced a plan to return the UK to “significant normality” by Christmas but there’s just one problem.

If Covid-19 behaves like other betacoronaviruses – and there’s no reason it should not – then it will certainly break out again, all over the UK, in the autumn (around November).

As Johnson is doing everything he can to get everybody back to work again before then – he has just announced that his “work from home if you can” edict will expire on August 1, allowing employers to force workers to travel back to their normal place of work – he’ll expose us all to that threat.

He seems to be basing his decision on a decrease in Covid-related deaths that is likely to have less to do with his efforts to fight the disease than with the changing of the seasons.

If Covid-19 follows its fellow betacoronaviruses, then its incidence will significantly reduce over the summer.

Resistance will last around six months.

So the best advice for Johnson – until we get a vaccine that works, at least – is to ensure that the starting point for the November increase is as low as possible.

He’s not doing that.

Instead, by pushing us back into contact with each other, he is increasing the number of people contracting the virus and therefore increasing the number that is likely to die.

This Writer’s understanding is that Johnson’s most recent easing of lockdown restrictions have pushed the ‘R’ rate up to 1.3 or thereabouts – much too high to be easing further.

But on he barges in typical bull-in-a-china-shop style.

Still, his own immunity is likely to run out before November. Perhaps if he gets another dose he might wise up…

Or we might be able to trade him in for a more intelligent politician.

Source: Coronavirus: Boris Johnson sets out plan for ‘significant normality’ by Christmas – BBC News

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5 thoughts on “Boris Johnson’s plan for Covid-19 ignores one significant detail: reality

  1. MARK BEVIS

    I saw a comment in the Doomosphere recently, dunno if it’s true, but it said that at 400ppm CO2 cognitive ability drops 20%. We’ve been over 400ppm CO2 in the atmosphere for at least 5 years. We’re at 415ppm CO2.
    It shows.

  2. Hecuba

    Lardy fascist dictator boris is only interested on increasing his male corporate bros profits and this is why he telling us peasants ‘to get back to work!’ All the money being lost (sic) because female and male employees are not accessing trains (which are owned by overseas corporate companies), all the money being ‘lost’ because corporate meetings aren’t being held in expensive hotels and equally lavish dinners!

    So ‘get back to work you peasants and increase our bloated male corporate profits’ says lardy fascist boris!

  3. Paul Atkin

    “Resistance will last around six months” – have you a reference for that, Mike?

    1. Mike Sivier Post author

      It’s the accepted length of time resistance to coronaviruses like Covid-19 lasts. Some may say it lasts up to a year but I think it is wiser to be conservative (small ‘c’) in this instance.

Comments are closed.