Yes, but what does Covid-19 do to people who DON’T die?
Spotted on Facebook:
Some other stats were discussed based on the question “if we let the virus rip through the population on an assumed 1% mortality rate, how could this shut down the U.K.?”Here was the answer:There are two problems with this question.1. It neglects the law of large numbers; and2. It assumes that one of two things happen: you die or you’re 100% fine.The UK has a population of 66,650,000. If one percent of the population dies, that’s666,500 people dead.Six hundred thousand people dead would monkey wrench the economy no matter what.That more than doubles the number of annual deaths all at once.The second bit is people keep talking about deaths. Deaths, deaths, deaths. Only one percent die! Just one percent! One is a small number! No big deal, right?What about the people who survive?For every one person who dies:– 19 more require hospitalisation.– 18 of those will have permanent heart damage for the rest of their lives.– 10 will have permanent lung damage.– 3 will have strokes.– 2 will have neurological damage that leads to chronic weakness and loss ofcoordination.– 2 will have neurological damage that leads to loss of cognitive function.So now all of a sudden, that “but it’s only 1% fatal!” becomes:– 666,500 people dead.– 12,471,600 hospitalized.– 11,815,200 people with permanent heart damage.– 6,564,000 people with permanent lung darnage.– 1,969,200 people with strokes.– 1,312,800 people with muscle weakness.– 1,312,800 people with loss of cognitive function.That’s the thing that the folks who keep going on about “only 1% dead, what’s the big deal?”don’t get.The choice is not “ruin the economy to save 1%”.If we reopen the economy, it will bedestroyed anyway. The UK economy cannot survive everyone getting COVID-19.Here’s more information on ‘Long Covid’ from the British Medical Journal.
We’re not at one per cent deaths yet, but even the official figures (which are probably false) show 0.1 per cent deaths.
So we can assume current figures are one-tenth of those listed above.
That’s 1.25 million people hospitalised.
1.2 million with permanent heart damage.
656,000 with permanent lung damage.
200,000 with strokes.
131,000 with muscle weakness.
131,000 with loss of cognitive function.
Now.
How many of those are – or rather, were – contributing to the economy before catching the disease? How many will be able to continue doing so?
By failing to prepare properly; by selling off our PPE and failing to stock up on ventilators; by delaying positive action; by keeping the borders open (a contradiction of Tory policy, surely?); by using the emergency procurement procedure as a subsidy system for their spoilt friends; and by fooling around with the distribution of the new vaccines for the sake of a false public-relations coup, Boris Johnson and his Tories have crippled the UK’s population for years – possibly decades – to come.
And you know what’s going to happen?
It will be the people who can no longer work who will get the blame (and who won’t get any benefits).
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My partner and I have both had Covid. Back in March, before the lockdown. We are still suffering – lethargy, loss of brain function, loss of short-term memory, breathlessness … these people who claim it’s harmless get right up my nose.
Very good analysis. Pity it isn’t more widely circulated.we know why though
We know what will happen all the thousands and thousands women and men who survived the coronavirus will be demonised as ‘dirty scroungers refusing to work and claiming benefits!’
The fascist tories have never cared one iota about us peasants and why would they care about the survivors – as long as these women and men can work – they must work for the fascist tories!
I have some minor but apparently permanent lung damage from the bout I had last spring.