Spotted on Facebook:
Some other stats were discussed based on the question “if we let the virus rip through the population on an assumed 1% mortality rate, how could this shut down the U.K.?”Here was the answer:There are two problems with this question.1. It neglects the law of large numbers; and2. It assumes that one of two things happen: you die or you’re 100% fine.The UK has a population of 66,650,000. If one percent of the population dies, that’s666,500 people dead.Six hundred thousand people dead would monkey wrench the economy no matter what.That more than doubles the number of annual deaths all at once.The second bit is people keep talking about deaths. Deaths, deaths, deaths. Only one percent die! Just one percent! One is a small number! No big deal, right?What about the people who survive?For every one person who dies:– 19 more require hospitalisation.– 18 of those will have permanent heart damage for the rest of their lives.– 10 will have permanent lung damage.– 3 will have strokes.– 2 will have neurological damage that leads to chronic weakness and loss ofcoordination.– 2 will have neurological damage that leads to loss of cognitive function.So now all of a sudden, that “but it’s only 1% fatal!” becomes:– 666,500 people dead.– 12,471,600 hospitalized.– 11,815,200 people with permanent heart damage.– 6,564,000 people with permanent lung darnage.– 1,969,200 people with strokes.– 1,312,800 people with muscle weakness.– 1,312,800 people with loss of cognitive function.That’s the thing that the folks who keep going on about “only 1% dead, what’s the big deal?”don’t get.The choice is not “ruin the economy to save 1%”.If we reopen the economy, it will bedestroyed anyway. The UK economy cannot survive everyone getting COVID-19.Here’s more information on ‘Long Covid’ from the British Medical Journal.
We’re not at one per cent deaths yet, but even the official figures (which are probably false) show 0.1 per cent deaths.
So we can assume current figures are one-tenth of those listed above.
That’s 1.25 million people hospitalised.
1.2 million with permanent heart damage.
656,000 with permanent lung damage.
200,000 with strokes.
131,000 with muscle weakness.
131,000 with loss of cognitive function.
How many of those are – or rather, were – contributing to the economy before catching the disease? How many will be able to continue doing so?
By failing to prepare properly; by selling off our PPE and failing to stock up on ventilators; by delaying positive action; by keeping the borders open (a contradiction of Tory policy, surely?); by using the emergency procurement procedure as a subsidy system for their spoilt friends; and by fooling around with the distribution of the new vaccines for the sake of a false public-relations coup, Boris Johnson and his Tories have crippled the UK’s population for years – possibly decades – to come.
And you know what’s going to happen?
It will be the people who can no longer work who will get the blame (and who won’t get any benefits).
Have YOU donated to my crowdfunding appeal, raising funds to fight false libel claims by TV celebrities who should know better? These court cases cost a lot of money so every penny will help ensure that wealth doesn’t beat justice.
Vox Political needs your help!
If you want to support this site
(but don’t want to give your money to advertisers)
you can make a one-off donation here:
Here are four ways to be sure you’re among the first to know what’s going on.
1) Register with us by clicking on ‘Subscribe’ (in the left margin). You can then receive notifications of every new article that is posted here.
2) Follow VP on Twitter @VoxPolitical
3) Like the Facebook page at https://www.facebook.com/VoxPolitical/
Join the Vox Political Facebook page.
4) You could even make Vox Political your homepage at http://voxpoliticalonline.com
And do share with your family and friends – so they don’t miss out!
If you have appreciated this article, don’t forget to share it using the buttons at the bottom of this page. Politics is about everybody – so let’s try to get everybody involved!
Buy Vox Political books so we can continue
fighting for the facts.
The Livingstone Presumption is now available
in either print or eBook format here:
Health Warning: Government! is now available
in either print or eBook format here:
The first collection, Strong Words and Hard Times,
is still available in either print or eBook format here: