Wakefield/Tiverton and Honiton: never mind the weather – GET OUT AND VOTE!
Why does the weather play such a crucial role in whether people bother to vote or not?
Having taken part in many elections, This Writer still has no idea.
But it is significant that a BBC report on the by-elections at Wakefield in Yorkshire and Tiverton and Honiton in Devon contained the following: “The weather is set to be warm and sunny in Wakefield, while the forecast is for a bright start followed by sunshine and showers in Honiton and Tiverton.”
The reason it makes a difference is that the Conservatives are always more likely to win in bad weather, because they regiment their voters into going out and supporting them, no matter what.
Labour voters (for example and by contrast) tend to stay at home and watch the soap operas if it’s a bit damp.
The good weather today (June 23) suggests that the Tories will get the drubbing in both constituencies that they deserve for continuing to support Boris Johnson despite his many corruptions.
Let’s hope so, eh? Because election results are the only polls that Tories really bother to notice.
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Always harder to get Labour/Left wing voters out. They work longer hours, don’t have their own dedicated transport often and may well be picking the kids up on the way home from work. After working 12 hours and getting the bus/train home it’s harder to take tired kids via the polling station if it’s pouring down. The one thing that might help the Tories today is the rail strike. If it takes potential Labour voters longer to get home then it’s possible they may be too tired to detour into the polling station. Tory voters are rich enough to be freed from these worries and will come out no matter what as it simply doesn’t affect them whatever..