Tory poll ratings are rising – but here’s the reason Labour need not worry
Poll positions: You can see that public opinion of the Labour Party leapt up, almost from the moment the news media were forced to give equal time to all parties in their election coverage in 2017.
We’ve been here before.
On the eve of the 2017 general election, Labour was 22 points behind the Conservatives, according to one poll. Another, days after the election, put Labour six points ahead.
That’s what happens when our news media are forced to spend a month being impartial, under threat of legal action.
So today’s Guardian comment is no cause for concern at all. It states:
In a post on his UK Polling Report blog yesterday Anthony Wells listed the five August polls then available, all giving the Tories a lead over Labour varying from three points to nine points. “We’re now at a point where the most recent polls from all the regular polling companies show the Conservatives back ahead,” Wells wrote.
Since then there have been two more polls giving the Tories a big lead. Last night YouGov released a second August poll, putting the Conservatives on 30% and Labour on 21%. And today Kantar has released a poll suggesting the Tories are 14 points ahead. It puts them on 42%, with Labour on 28%, the Lib Dems on 15% and the Brexit party on 5%.
What do you think?
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Two years down the line, this post is looking pretty foolish, with it becoming increasingly clear that Corbyn is as attractive to the voters as a dose of Ebola Fever.
Your comment looks pretty foolish from where I’m sitting – for reasons mentioned in the article.
I think it is pretty foolish to say ” labour need not worry”. The next election will not be a repeat of 2017 if only because the Tories will be prepared and will hope to avoid the mistakes they made in 2017.
They’re still Tories. And the fact is that it is only mass media pro-Tory bias that ever puts them on top of the opinion polls.
I note that even Survation, who I believe were the most accurate at the 2017 election, put the Conservatives ahead. Given the problems the country is currently facing I would have expected the main oposition party to hold a lead, even accounting for perceived media bias.
That’s not how it works. We’ve been here before and there really is nothing to worry about.
Sorry – I admire your optimism but can see nothing in your piece to support it. James Thomas is probably right and the Conservatives could hardly present a worse campaign than they did in 2017.
We’ll have to agree to differ then.
Haha this post isn’t from two years ago! If I need ebola to have a decent government then dose me up mush!