Latest electoral opinion poll gives huge boost – to the GREEN PARTY
This was a surprise:
Westminster voting intention:
LAB: 36% (-)
CON: 35% (-4)
GRN: 11% (+5)
LDEM: 9% (-)via @IpsosMORI, 29 Oct – 04 Nov
Chgs. w/ Sephttps://t.co/uUEQTNgoGf— Britain Elects (@BritainElects) November 8, 2021
But don’t get any grand ideas – this commentator has it right:
Fwiw, I don't think it'll last. This is just damage to the Tories. A sustained long-term Labour poll lead requires the party to really start convincing people of their proposition.
— Ian Dunt (@IanDunt) November 8, 2021
And Another Angry Voice adds more context:
The Green Party are up to 11% in a recent poll.
11% of 650 would deliver 71 Green MPs
Under Britain's archaic and preposterously unrepresentative voting system, they'd almost certainly still only get 1 MP if they won 11% of the vote at a General Election!
— Another Angry Voice (@Angry_Voice) November 8, 2021
So there you have it:
The Conservatives have lost their poll lead to Labour – momentarily. It’s not because of anything Labour has done, therefore Labour is not likely to maintain it.
The beneficiary of the votes the Tories lost is the Green Party – possibly because of the backlash against the Tories for allowing the wholesale pollution of our rivers with untreated sewage.
But the Greens are no threat to anybody for the reason AAV describes: it would translate to just one Commons seat, as usual.
Unless the First Past The Post system is scrapped in favour of proportional representation, no smaller party will ever gain influence.
And neither Labour nor the Tories will have that!
Which means that, even with a (temporary) poll lead, Labour is propping up the Conservatives.
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