How was this future immigration figure worked out? And should we take it seriously if it isn't based on anything solid?

How was this future immigration figure worked out?

How was this future immigration figure worked out by the Office for National Statistics?

The ONS reckons the UK’s population will rise to 72.5 million by 2032, because five million more people will immigrate into the UK than will leave it.

Births and deaths will be equal between 2022 and 2032 but, while 4.9 million people will leave the UK, the ONS reckons 9.9 million will move in.

This is perfect fodder for the racists. Even This Writer is a little hesitant at the idea of a number equivalent to one-seventh of the current population coming here from abroad.

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Why will the UK need them? Or will there be another reason that the government will not be able to avoid?

No answer appears to be forthcoming.

The ONS has taken pains to say its figures are projections – not predictions or forecasts (I think this means they are based on past increases) – and the real numbers could be higher or lower.

And the government has pledged to ensure that the numbers are lower, by setting out a “comprehensive plan” to reduce immigration. We have yet to be given any inkling of what that plan may be.

Taken in the round, this BBC report looks like scaremongering.


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One Comment

  1. Fazal Majid January 28, 2025 at 7:15 pm - Reply

    Well, one of the reasons is the UK wants to save money on training doctors and nurses and wants to free-ride on poor countries like India or Nigeria instead, and that means immigrants unless you want the NHS to implode.

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