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If this had been a Survation poll, the lead might have been in double-figures.

Survation is the only trustworthy pollster around at the moment, having been closest to accurately predicting recent election results.

The poll released on the weekend, showing Labour leading the Tories by four points, is by Opinium.

It suggests that Labour has merely retained its current level of popularity, while the Tories have fallen due to their staggering ineptitude over Brexit.

Apparently the hard-right voter has returned to UKIP. Fat lot of good that will do.

Also directly attributable to her Brexit failures is Theresa May’s nosediving popularity – according to Opinium, Jeremy Corbyn is now the UK’s most popular political leader.

But she has to carry the can for it – the poll shows that the preferred choice of alternative leader – from a list including Boris Johnson, Jacob Rees-Mogg, David Davis, Philip Hammond, Jeremy Hunt, Michael Gove and Andrea Leadsom – is “none of the above”.

Labour has not benefited from the Tory loss of popularity because that party’s own policy on Brexit remains unclear – and this is absolutely fine as far as the party’s leadership is concerned.

Labour’s position is that Brexit is a disaster entirely created by the Conservative Party – and is determined to ensure that the Tories take the fall for it.

The Observer article’s claim that –

While Labour’s poll lead will encourage some in the party to push for an early general election, others in the party will be worried that its support has not increased at a time when the Tories are in open revolt and lack any unity over Brexit

– is unlikely to be based on anything other than the writer’s own imagination. Labour isn’t worried about an early general election – if it happens, great! If not, the party can wait – and there are no concerns about party support while Brexit remains a disaster-in-process, rather than a historical one.

Source: Labour opens up biggest lead over Tories since general election | Politics | The Guardian

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