One of the few joys of the years since the Conservatives tricked their way back into office is their complete lack of success at gerrymandering the boundaries of Parliamentary constituencies to suit them.
First they had to rely on the Liberal Democrats, who abandoned them when the Tories refused to support reform of the House of Lords.
Now they have to rely on the Democratic Unionists, who have never supported the Tory proposals.
The Tories are desperate to rig the next election as the average age of their party’s members is 72, and they have utterly failed to attract support from the young.
Boundary Commission findings also known as 'OMG our supporters are dying and we can't get young people we've screwed over to vote Tory'
— Will Black (@WillBlackWriter) October 17, 2017
The revelation that Boris Johnson would probably lose his Parliamentary seat, if the changes go through, is a double-edged sword; some members of the public might support them for that reason – others might not.
Mr Johnson himself probably wouldn’t approve – and it seems a considerable number of his fellow Conservatives feel the same way.
Let’s see what Cat Smith has to say about it:
“Labour stands ready to work with all parties to ensure that a boundary review can go ahead in a way that benefits our democracy, not just the Conservative Party. However it has been clear from the start that the Tories have only been interested in their own political advantage rather than what is in the best interests of the country.
“To lose 50 MPs at a time we are repatriating powers from Brussels as we leave the European Union risks leaving the UK Government struggling to keep up with the day to day requirements of legislation.
“They need to drop their unfair, undemocratic plans, as well as ensuring the review is based on the most up-to-date register and that there is appropriate flexibility to take into account community ties and geography.”
Good points – especially concerning the fact that the proposals use an out-of-date version of the electoral register from 2015. Many more people have registered to vote since then – mostly spurred to do so by Jeremy Corbyn’s election as Labour leader.
So you can see why the Tories wouldn’t want to update their ideas.
It all boils down to mathematics – and the numbers are against Mrs May.
She doesn’t have enough support, even from her own MPs, to push through this legislation.
So This Writer reckons it will be shelved – again.
And anyway, who says we’ll have to wait until 2022 for the next election?
Revised proposals for the shape of parliamentary seats at the next general election have been published.
The proposed constituency boundaries in England, Scotland and Wales have been drawn up on the basis the total number of MPs will be cut from 650 to 600.
Parliament approved the principle of reducing the size of the Commons in 2011, intended as a cost-saving measure in the wake of the expenses scandal.
But it is uncertain whether the Commons will end up backing the detailed plans.
If they do so, the proposed new constituencies – recommended by independent bodies in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland – will take effect in 2022, the scheduled date of the next election.
Prime Minister Theresa May is reliant on the support of the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) for getting legislation through the Commons after her failure to win a majority in June’s snap election.
The DUP opposed the last boundary review when it was put to a vote in 2013, while many Conservatives are thought to have reservations about the scope of the shake-up, which could lead to a scramble for seats as a host of constituencies are abolished.
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